LA 6.5 o42.0
PHI -6.5 u42.0
BAL -1.0 o51.5
BUF 1.0 u51.5
Final Jan 18
HOU 14 10.0 o41.5
KC 23 -10.0 u41.5
Final Jan 18
WAS 45 8.0 o55.5
DET 31 -8.0 u55.5
Pittsburgh 3rd AFC North10-7
Houston 1st AFC South10-7
CBS

Pittsburgh @ Houston props

NRG Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dalton Schultz Receptions Made Props • Houston

D. Schultz
tight end TE • Houston
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to accrue 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs. Dalton Schultz has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Dalton Schultz

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to accrue 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs. Dalton Schultz has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Steelers have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate. The projections expect the Steelers to run the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Pat Freiermuth to notch 5.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs.

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

The Steelers have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate. The projections expect the Steelers to run the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Pat Freiermuth to notch 5.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs.

Tank Dell Receptions Made Props • Houston

T. Dell
wide receiver WR • Houston
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-101
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
-101
Projection Rating

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Nathaniel Dell to total 7.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.

Tank Dell

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Nathaniel Dell to total 7.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.

George Pickens Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The Steelers have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate. The projections expect the Steelers to run the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast George Pickens to notch 8.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.

George Pickens

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The Steelers have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate. The projections expect the Steelers to run the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast George Pickens to notch 8.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Najee Harris Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

N. Harris
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The Steelers have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate. The projections expect the Steelers to run the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Najee Harris has been among the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

Najee Harris

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

The Steelers have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate. The projections expect the Steelers to run the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Najee Harris has been among the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

Dameon Pierce Receptions Made Props • Houston

D. Pierce
running back RB • Houston
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Dameon Pierce has been a less important option in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 47.9% of snaps compared to 63.1% last year. Dameon Pierce has been among the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Dameon Pierce

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Dameon Pierce has been a less important option in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 47.9% of snaps compared to 63.1% last year. Dameon Pierce has been among the top pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Calvin Austin III Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

C. Austin III
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
-135
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
-135

Allen Robinson II Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

A. Robinson II
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+126
Under
-215
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+126
Under
-215

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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