Minnesota @ Atlanta props

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Falcons have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 62.0 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Van Jefferson to be much more involved in his offense's pass game in this week's contest (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played). This year, the anemic Vikings pass defense has given up a staggering 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

A passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their downs: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. T.J. Hockenson's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, averaging 6.6 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 3.5 last year.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Falcons have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 62.0 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Bijan Robinson checks in as one of the top running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile. This year, the porous Vikings pass defense has allowed a massive 95.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the worst rate in the NFL.

A passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their downs: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. Jordan Addison profiles as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a remarkable 4.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

A passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their downs: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-most among all teams this week. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. Alexander Mattison's 49.9% Route Participation Rate this year marks a noteworthy boost in his passing attack usage over last year's 22.0% mark.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The Falcons have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 62.0 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The model projects Kyle Pitts to notch 6.3 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Kyle Pitts rates as one of the best pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 3.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.