San Francisco @ Seattle props

The Seahawks are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. In this week's game, D.K. Metcalf is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 91st percentile among wideouts with 9.3 targets. D.K. Metcalf ranks in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a staggering 64.6 mark this year. This year, the feeble 49ers pass defense has given up a staggering 71.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-biggest rate in the NFL.

The Seahawks are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.4 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Tyler Lockett to accumulate 8.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs. With a terrific 5.2 adjusted catches per game (90th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett places among the leading WRs in the game in the league.

An extreme running game script is implied by the 49ers being a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average). When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a measly 56.0 per game on average). The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.4%) versus running backs this year (79.4%). The 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Seahawks are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.4 per game) this year.

An extreme running game script is implied by the 49ers being a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week. The predictive model expects the 49ers to call the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics. The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average). Christian McCaffrey's 29.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 35.1.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL. In this week's contest, Brandon Aiyuk is expected by the model to slot into the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets. Brandon Aiyuk's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 58.8. With a fantastic 4.9 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL in football. Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 68.9% to 72.9%.