Baltimore @ Los Angeles props

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The projections expect the Chargers as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

The Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 3.6% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by the projections to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense this year: 2nd-most in football. The projections expect Isaiah Likely to accrue 5.4 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs. The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to be a more important option in his team's passing game in this week's game (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.8% in games he has played).

The Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 3.6% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by the projections to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense this year: 2nd-most in football. With a high 91.8% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers has been among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL. With a terrific 4.9 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The projections expect the Chargers as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL. Keenan Allen's 8.2 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a meaningful boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 6.5 figure.

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. The projections expect the Chargers as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.