KC -2.5 o44.0
PIT 2.5 u44.0
BAL -5.5 o46.5
HOU 5.5 u46.5
SEA -3.5 o43.0
CHI 3.5 u43.0
LAC -4.0 o42.0
NE 4.0 u42.0
DEN 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
ARI 6.5 o48.0
LA -6.5 u48.0
DAL 9.0 o41.0
PHI -9.0 u41.0
LV -1.0 o37.5
NO 1.0 u37.5
NYJ 10.5 o47.5
BUF -10.5 u47.5
CAR 8.5 o48.0
TB -8.5 u48.0
IND -8.5 o40.0
NYG 8.5 u40.0
TEN 1.0 o40.0
JAC -1.0 u40.0
MIA -6.5 o40.5
CLE 6.5 u40.5
GB -1.0 o49.0
MIN 1.0 u49.0
ATL 4.0 o47.5
WAS -4.0 u47.5
DET -4.0 o50.5
SF 4.0 u50.5
Green Bay 2nd NFC North9-8
Minnesota 3rd NFC North7-10
NBC

Green Bay @ Minnesota props

U.S. Bank Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Justin Jefferson Receptions Made Props • Minnesota

J. Jefferson
wide receiver WR • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+115

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Jaren Hall. The leading projections forecast the Vikings as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to garner 10.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. Justin Jefferson places in the 96th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a massive 70.6 figure this year.

Justin Jefferson

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.5

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Jaren Hall. The leading projections forecast the Vikings as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to garner 10.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. Justin Jefferson places in the 96th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a massive 70.6 figure this year.

Jayden Reed Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

J. Reed
wide receiver WR • Green Bay
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.7% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.4 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Jayden Reed to accumulate 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among wideouts. Jayden Reed checks in as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an excellent 4.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

Jayden Reed

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.3

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.7% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.4 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Jayden Reed to accumulate 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among wideouts. Jayden Reed checks in as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an excellent 4.0 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

Aaron Jones Receptions Made Props • Green Bay

A. Jones
running back RB • Green Bay
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Over
-166

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.7% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.4 per game) this year. The projections expect Aaron Jones to total 4.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs. Aaron Jones ranks as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

Aaron Jones

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.7% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.4 per game) this year. The projections expect Aaron Jones to total 4.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs. Aaron Jones ranks as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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