New Orleans @ Dallas props

The Cowboys are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script. Since the start of last season, the strong Saints defense has allowed a measly 58.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in the NFL. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys as the 9th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.2 per game on average). The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop. The leading projections forecast Luke Schoonmaker to earn 4.0 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Cowboys are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script. The Saints pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.1%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (71.1%). As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.7 plays per game. Chris Olave checks in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 5.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The New Orleans Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.7 plays per game. Alvin Kamara comes in as one of the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 5.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.