Cleveland @ Pittsburgh props

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6 points. The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: 7th-fewest in football. This year, the tough Browns defense has conceded a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the best rate in the NFL.

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points. The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: 7th-fewest in football. This year, the tough Browns defense has conceded a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the best rate in the NFL.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 139.0 plays on offense called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average). In this game, Najee Harris is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 86th percentile among running backs with 3.6 targets. Najee Harris's 15.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 10.0.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 139.0 plays on offense called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average). With a sizeable 74.9% Route Participation% (82nd percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth ranks among the TEs with the most usage in football. Our trusted projections expect Pat Freiermuth to accrue 4.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends. With an exceptional 3.5 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth rates as one of the best pass-game TEs in football.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume. The Browns O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board. As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

The Browns are a 6-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 64.4% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 139.0 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.7 per game on average).

The Browns are a 6-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 64.4% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 139.0 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week. The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.7 per game on average). Jerry Jeudy's 92.5% Route% this year reflects a noteworthy boost in his passing offense usage over last year's 81.7% figure.