Carolina @ Las Vegas props

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-least pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.9% pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Panthers ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season. Chuba Hubbard's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 89.0% to 78.9%.

A rushing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a 4-point favorite in this game. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 54.9 plays per game. Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.5 per game) since the start of last season.

With a 66.8% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Raiders. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Raiders grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the poor Panthers pass defense has yielded a staggering 77.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 5th-biggest rate in football. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.

The Panthers are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. Diontae Johnson comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile. Since the start of last season, the deficient Raiders pass defense has conceded a whopping 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

With a 66.8% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Raiders. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Raiders grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.

The Panthers are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.9%) to TEs since the start of last season (75.9%). The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.