NE 6.5 o38.0
NYJ -6.5 u38.0
GB 2.0 o38.5
TEN -2.0 u38.5
PHI 2.5 o49.5
NO -2.5 u49.5
DEN 6.5 o39.5
TB -6.5 u39.5
HOU -2.5 o46.0
MIN 2.5 u46.0
CHI 1.5 o43.5
IND -1.5 u43.5
NYG 6.5 o39.0
CLE -6.5 u39.0
LAC 1.0 o36.0
PIT -1.0 u36.0
CAR 5.5 o40.0
LV -5.5 u40.0
MIA 4.5 o41.0
SEA -4.5 u41.0
DET -2.5 o52.0
ARI 2.5 u52.0
SF -7.5 o44.5
LA 7.5 u44.5
BAL -1.0 o49.0
DAL 1.0 u49.0
KC -3.5 o46.5
ATL 3.5 u46.5
JAC 5.5 o45.5
BUF -5.5 u45.5
WAS 8.0 o47.5
CIN -8.0 u47.5
Carolina 4th NFC South0-2
Las Vegas 3rd AFC West1-1

Carolina @ Las Vegas props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Davante Adams Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

D. Adams
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

A rushing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a 4-point favorite in this game. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 54.9 plays per game. Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.5 per game) since the start of last season.

Davante Adams

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.3

A rushing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a 4-point favorite in this game. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 54.9 plays per game. Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.5 per game) since the start of last season.

Diontae Johnson Receptions Made Props • Carolina

D. Johnson
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The Panthers are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. Diontae Johnson comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile. Since the start of last season, the deficient Raiders pass defense has conceded a whopping 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

Diontae Johnson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

The Panthers are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a massive 59.8 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down. Diontae Johnson comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile. Since the start of last season, the deficient Raiders pass defense has conceded a whopping 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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