New Orleans @ Green Bay props

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Saints are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are predicted by the projections to call 69.8 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) this year. The model projects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to total 6.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.

With a 14.5-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. The Green Bay Packers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.3 plays per game. This year, the daunting Saints defense has yielded a puny 62.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are predicted by the projections to call 69.8 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Kendre Miller to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are predicted by the projections to call 69.8 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) this year. Juwan Johnson's 79.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a substantial improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 64.1% figure.

With a 14.5-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Packers to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. The Green Bay Packers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.3 plays per game. Josh Jacobs's 13.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 20.5. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the league.

At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Saints are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are predicted by the projections to call 69.8 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off. The Packers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) this year. While Kevin Austin has garnered 10.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New Orleans's pass game in this week's contest at 18.0%.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 137.5 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The New Orleans Saints defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) this year. Tucker Kraft's 84.7% Route% this year shows an impressive improvement in his passing game usage over last year's 44.0% figure. With a terrific 82.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (76th percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft rates as one of the best possession receivers in football when it comes to tight ends.