PIT -3.5 o37.0
CLE 3.5 u37.0
DET -7.5 o49.5
IND 7.5 u49.5
TEN 9.0 o41.0
HOU -9.0 u41.0
NE 7.0 o46.5
MIA -7.0 u46.5
MIN -3.5 o39.0
CHI 3.5 u39.0
KC -11.0 o43.0
CAR 11.0 u43.0
TB -5.5 o41.5
NYG 5.5 u41.5
DAL 10.5 o45.0
WAS -10.5 u45.0
DEN -6.0 o40.5
LV 6.0 u40.5
SF 2.5 o47.0
GB -2.5 u47.0
ARI 1.0 o48.0
SEA -1.0 u48.0
PHI -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
BAL -3.0 o51.0
LAC 3.0 u51.0
Jacksonville 4th AFC South2-9
Detroit 1st NFC North9-1

Jacksonville @ Detroit props

Ford Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Evan Engram Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

E. Engram
tight end TE • Jacksonville
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
+105

The Jacksonville Jaguars may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones. The Jaguars are a heavy 14-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.3 per game) this year.

Evan Engram

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.2

The Jacksonville Jaguars may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones. The Jaguars are a heavy 14-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.3 per game) this year.

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Made Props • Detroit

J. Gibbs
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3
Best Odds
Over
-110

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. Jahmyr Gibbs grades out as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a terrific 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 75th percentile. Jahmyr Gibbs's 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a material improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 73.7% figure.

Jahmyr Gibbs

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs. Jahmyr Gibbs grades out as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a terrific 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 75th percentile. Jahmyr Gibbs's 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a material improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 73.7% figure.

Brock Wright Receptions Made Props • Detroit

B. Wright
tight end TE • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Over
-167

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80%) to tight ends this year (80.0%). When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Jacksonville's group of safeties has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Brock Wright

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80%) to tight ends this year (80.0%). When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Jacksonville's group of safeties has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Travis Etienne Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

T. Etienne
running back RB • Jacksonville
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Jacksonville Jaguars may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones. The Jaguars are a heavy 14-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.3 per game) this year.

Travis Etienne

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The Jacksonville Jaguars may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones. The Jaguars are a heavy 14-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script. Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 64.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.3 per game) this year.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs. With an extraordinary 28.3% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league. Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 75.1% to 81.9%.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.8

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline. The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.3 per game) this year. The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs. With an extraordinary 28.3% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league. Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 75.1% to 81.9%.

Brian Thomas Receptions Made Props • Jacksonville

B. Thomas
wide receiver WR • Jacksonville
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-140

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The fewest plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a measly 51.7 per game on average). The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Brian Thomas

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics. The fewest plays in football have been run by the Jaguars this year (a measly 51.7 per game on average). The Lions safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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