Houston @ Dallas props

This week's line suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points. The predictive model expects the Texans to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year. Joe Mixon's 40.7% Route Participation% this year conveys a significant decrease in his air attack usage over last year's 53.5% figure. Joe Mixon's 66.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 83.5% mark.

The Dallas Cowboys may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script. The projections expect the Cowboys to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 133.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 133.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Houston Texans have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 62.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. With an extraordinary 77.2% Route% (89th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz places as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the NFL. The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to accumulate 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 133.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The Houston Texans have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 62.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Nico Collins is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.0 targets. Nico Collins's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, compiling 6.3 adjusted catches vs a mere 5.2 last year.

The Dallas Cowboys may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script. The projections expect the Cowboys to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 133.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. Jake Ferguson's 5.2 adjusted catches per game this season indicates an impressive progression in his receiving talent over last season's 4.2 figure.

The Dallas Cowboys may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Cooper Rush. The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script. The projections expect the Cowboys to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 133.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. Rico Dowdle's receiving talent has been refined this season, averaging 3.0 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.1 last season.

Jalen Brooks has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Tank Dell has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Tolbert has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

KaVontae Turpin has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

John Metchie has gone over 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.