Seattle @ San Francisco props

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6 points. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 53.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Deebo Samuel's 41.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 49.2. Deebo Samuel's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 69.3% to 64.0%.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) this year. The model projects George Kittle to earn 6.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends. George Kittle has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 22.9% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among tight ends. George Kittle's receiving talent has improved this season, compiling 5.4 adjusted receptions compared to just 4.0 last season.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are expected by the projection model to call only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week. The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board. D.K. Metcalf's 55.8% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a material decrease in his receiving prowess over last year's 61.1% mark. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (56.4%) vs. wide receivers this year (56.4%). The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) this year. With a high 79.2% Route Participation% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian McCaffrey stands among the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in the NFL. In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 99th percentile among RBs with 6.5 targets. Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

A throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a -6-point underdog in this game. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Kenneth Walker's 4.3 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a significant improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 1.9 figure. This year, the feeble San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed a whopping 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-worst rate in football.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are expected by the projection model to call only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week. The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.