DET -3.5 o49.5
SF 3.5 u49.5
Final Dec 25
KC 29 -1.5 o46.0
PIT 10 1.5 u46.0
Final Dec 25
BAL 31 -6.5 o47.5
HOU 2 6.5 u47.5
Final Dec 26
SEA 6 -4.0 o42.0
CHI 3 4.0 u42.0
Final Dec 28
LAC 40 -6.0 o41.5
NE 7 6.0 u41.5
Final OT Dec 28
DEN 24 3.0 o50.0
CIN 30 -3.0 u50.0
Final Dec 28
ARI 9 6.5 o48.0
LA 13 -6.5 u48.0
Final Dec 29
IND 33 -7.5 o40.5
NYG 45 7.5 u40.5
Final Dec 29
TEN 13 -1.0 o38.0
JAC 20 1.0 u38.0
Final Dec 29
NYJ 14 10.5 o44.0
BUF 40 -10.5 u44.0
Final Dec 29
DAL 7 7.5 o37.5
PHI 41 -7.5 u37.5
Final Dec 29
LV 25 -2.0 o37.5
NO 10 2.0 u37.5
Final Dec 29
CAR 14 10.5 o48.0
TB 48 -10.5 u48.0
Final Dec 29
MIA 20 -3.5 o33.0
CLE 3 3.5 u33.0
Final Dec 29
GB 25 1.0 o49.0
MIN 27 -1.0 u49.0
Final OT Dec 29
ATL 24 3.5 o46.5
WAS 30 -3.5 u46.5
San Francisco 4th NFC West6-9
Seattle 2nd NFC West9-7
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San Francisco @ Seattle props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

DK Metcalf Receptions Made Props • Seattle

D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
+112

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see just 126.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week. Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.8 per game) this year. When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year. This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a paltry 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in football. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see just 126.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week. Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.8 per game) this year. When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year. This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered a paltry 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best rate in football. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

George Kittle Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-114

The 49ers are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script. Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Seattle's safety corps has been great this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

George Kittle

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

The 49ers are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script. Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Seattle's safety corps has been great this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Deebo Samuel Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

The 49ers are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script. Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year. Deebo Samuel's 61.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last year's 69.3% mark.

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.3

The 49ers are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script. Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year. Deebo Samuel's 61.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last year's 69.3% mark.

Noah Fant Receptions Made Props • Seattle

N. Fant
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-139

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see just 126.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week. Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.8 per game) this year. When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.3%) to TEs this year (72.3%). The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Noah Fant

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see just 126.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week. Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.8 per game) this year. When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year. The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.3%) to TEs this year (72.3%). The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Kenneth Walker Receptions Made Props • Seattle

K. Walker
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Over
+120

A passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog this week. The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The model projects Kenneth Walker to garner 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs. Kenneth Walker's 14.3% Target% this year represents a remarkable growth in his passing game usage over last year's 7.4% figure.

Kenneth Walker

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.5
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.5

A passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog this week. The projections expect the Seahawks to be the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The model projects Kenneth Walker to garner 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs. Kenneth Walker's 14.3% Target% this year represents a remarkable growth in his passing game usage over last year's 7.4% figure.

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

B. Aiyuk
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game. The projections expect Brandon Aiyuk to accumulate 7.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs. With a terrific 4.2 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk places as one of the top WRs in the league in the league. This year, the deficient Seahawks pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.

Brandon Aiyuk

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.8

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game. The projections expect Brandon Aiyuk to accumulate 7.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs. With a terrific 4.2 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk places as one of the top WRs in the league in the league. This year, the deficient Seahawks pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.

Jordan Mason Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

J. Mason
running back RB • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game. Jordan Mason has gone out for more passes this season (60.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (6.5%). Jordan Mason's 1.4 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a meaningful gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 0.3 figure.

Jordan Mason

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.6

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game. Jordan Mason has gone out for more passes this season (60.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (6.5%). Jordan Mason's 1.4 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a meaningful gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 0.3 figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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