Saturday Plays: Double Up Day (lose a designated double up, next bet is double Units that I declare)
Half U parlay (pays 3 to 1) > Baylor ML with Baylor Under 145
Double Up x 1U > Baylor +2.5
-they love tight games and playing rivals....Texas in a funk and expect they will be ready and motivated, but that just gets Baylor's talent fired up to compete as well....this should be a close game and predicting a 71 - 69 score for which side???
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Saturday Plays: Double Up Day (lose a designated double up, next bet is double Units that I declare)
Half U parlay (pays 3 to 1) > Baylor ML with Baylor Under 145
Double Up x 1U > Baylor +2.5
-they love tight games and playing rivals....Texas in a funk and expect they will be ready and motivated, but that just gets Baylor's talent fired up to compete as well....this should be a close game and predicting a 71 - 69 score for which side???
Fun parlay Half U pays almost 3 to 1 > Detroit +10.5 with Over Wisc GrBay/N. Kentucky 138.5
Definitely playing the last game of the evening and know which side I am on!! It might be a Double Up completion and look forward to watching this one online.
Half U Teasers 5 pts, just in case I forget to play it:
Wyoming +12 with UNDER New Mex St 134 with SF OVER 124
New Mex St -1 with SF +5 with Kansas -5
SF +5 with California Over 140.5 with SMU UNDER 150.5
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Fun parlay Half U pays almost 3 to 1 > Detroit +10.5 with Over Wisc GrBay/N. Kentucky 138.5
Definitely playing the last game of the evening and know which side I am on!! It might be a Double Up completion and look forward to watching this one online.
Half U Teasers 5 pts, just in case I forget to play it:
Wyoming +12 with UNDER New Mex St 134 with SF OVER 124
New Mex St -1 with SF +5 with Kansas -5
SF +5 with California Over 140.5 with SMU UNDER 150.5
NO!! >> Next Double Up play: Under SMU-Tulsa 146 x 1U
D-UP 2x U > Mid Tenn- New Mex St. Under 129.5........if I lose this, I will be play 4 UNITS SF ...hopefully for EVEN ....if I get this 2U play, I am still playing SF at home vs STM....statement game!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
NO!! >> Next Double Up play: Under SMU-Tulsa 146 x 1U
D-UP 2x U > Mid Tenn- New Mex St. Under 129.5........if I lose this, I will be play 4 UNITS SF ...hopefully for EVEN ....if I get this 2U play, I am still playing SF at home vs STM....statement game!
Took a break to re-organize my data and get caught up:
Like some lines today a lot!
Play #1 - UNC-Wilm @ Northeastern > OVER 142 x 1U
-both with very capable offenses and defense, not so much, especially NE who will find a way to stay in this game with home crowd and shooting spots, even if it means fouling a lot of UNCW players!
Play #2 - SMU -1 @ North Texas x 2U
-definite mismatch even if UNT was healthy and they are not!....key PG out likely and another guard wonky.
-SMU is a tough tough team to play and I like the OVER 125.5 x 1U despite the fact these two teams like to play defense. I think the home team gets into foul trouble a lot and last night, I lost a 122.5 OVER when they were at 110 pts with less than 2 minutes to go.....the total finished at 128 because of a hack fest that followed every 3-5 seconds the rest of the way. I see a similar thing in this one too with hometeam doing it just like last night
Might have a couple/few more but these 2 really stood out and dove deep into both matches
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Took a break to re-organize my data and get caught up:
Like some lines today a lot!
Play #1 - UNC-Wilm @ Northeastern > OVER 142 x 1U
-both with very capable offenses and defense, not so much, especially NE who will find a way to stay in this game with home crowd and shooting spots, even if it means fouling a lot of UNCW players!
Play #2 - SMU -1 @ North Texas x 2U
-definite mismatch even if UNT was healthy and they are not!....key PG out likely and another guard wonky.
-SMU is a tough tough team to play and I like the OVER 125.5 x 1U despite the fact these two teams like to play defense. I think the home team gets into foul trouble a lot and last night, I lost a 122.5 OVER when they were at 110 pts with less than 2 minutes to go.....the total finished at 128 because of a hack fest that followed every 3-5 seconds the rest of the way. I see a similar thing in this one too with hometeam doing it just like last night
Might have a couple/few more but these 2 really stood out and dove deep into both matches
Play #1 - Jackson St @ Florida AM UNDER 145.5 X 2U
-quick check of their head to head and I see they have never scored more than 127 or 131 combined in last year or previous year matches......4 games!
-what makes this year different??
Parlay > $20 Bethune Cook -160 with Texas +180 with Virginia Tech +145 >> will return close to $100
Parlay > $20 Bethune -160 with Vtech +3.5 with Houston ML >> close to $60
Parlay > $40 Bethune -160 with Duke -170 with Texas +5 >> pays close to $100
Houston - Texas Over 130.5 x 1U .... they play different on the road and homecourts get an extra gear trying to stay close with them and I see more tempo than I do when they play at home
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Monday Plays:
Play #1 - Jackson St @ Florida AM UNDER 145.5 X 2U
-quick check of their head to head and I see they have never scored more than 127 or 131 combined in last year or previous year matches......4 games!
-what makes this year different??
Parlay > $20 Bethune Cook -160 with Texas +180 with Virginia Tech +145 >> will return close to $100
Parlay > $20 Bethune -160 with Vtech +3.5 with Houston ML >> close to $60
Parlay > $40 Bethune -160 with Duke -170 with Texas +5 >> pays close to $100
Houston - Texas Over 130.5 x 1U .... they play different on the road and homecourts get an extra gear trying to stay close with them and I see more tempo than I do when they play at home
Monday Plays: Play #1 - Jackson St @ Florida AM UNDER 145.5 X 2U -quick check of their head to head and I see they have never scored more than 127 or 131 combined in last year or previous year matches......4 games! -what makes this year different?? Parlay > $20 Bethune Cook -160 with Texas +180 with Virginia Tech +145 >> will return close to $100 Parlay > $20 Bethune -160 with Vtech +3.5 with Houston ML >> close to $60 Parlay > $40 Bethune -160 with Duke -170 with Texas +5 >> pays close to $100 Houston - Texas Over 130.5 x 1U .... they play different on the road and homecourts get an extra gear trying to stay close with them and I see more tempo than I do when they play at home
Taking a break.... absolute turn of events and strange things happening haha. I will be uber selective going forward. Its not fun watching weird stuff happen in some games that make you scratch your head!
Bethune Cook was one example..... the 2nd half of my UNDER play ...holy crap did they play like they had an OVER to cover ...shooting every 5-7 seconds it seemed the whole half haha
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Monday Plays: Play #1 - Jackson St @ Florida AM UNDER 145.5 X 2U -quick check of their head to head and I see they have never scored more than 127 or 131 combined in last year or previous year matches......4 games! -what makes this year different?? Parlay > $20 Bethune Cook -160 with Texas +180 with Virginia Tech +145 >> will return close to $100 Parlay > $20 Bethune -160 with Vtech +3.5 with Houston ML >> close to $60 Parlay > $40 Bethune -160 with Duke -170 with Texas +5 >> pays close to $100 Houston - Texas Over 130.5 x 1U .... they play different on the road and homecourts get an extra gear trying to stay close with them and I see more tempo than I do when they play at home
Taking a break.... absolute turn of events and strange things happening haha. I will be uber selective going forward. Its not fun watching weird stuff happen in some games that make you scratch your head!
Bethune Cook was one example..... the 2nd half of my UNDER play ...holy crap did they play like they had an OVER to cover ...shooting every 5-7 seconds it seemed the whole half haha
Some definite trends are emerging late in the season......Saturday began to show some. I have noticed some things over the past few weeks as well
#1 - Vegas was slow to adjust to the OVER trend in NCAAB this year but has over inflated their totals in many games and the OVER tends to only hit on these high numbers (162+) when OT presents itself for the most part (not every case so don't assume that every number over this won't hit)
#2 - road teams of quality are beginning to chew on the inflated home lines of -4.5 to -9 .....generally, a home line higher than this, tends to win moneyline and cover regularly.....but things have shifted from home dogs early in the year having their usual success to road dogs doing ok and hitting on a higher %
The best part about not focusing on SIDES as much this year, is that I can now have a fresh perspective on building my DATA CHART on which teams are strong based on some key factors that you want to GO FAR in the NCAAB tourney:
1. strong on neutral court or visitor courts
2. excellent defending on the perimeter which I am seeing is vital now more than ever in today's shooting from anywhere and from any player including centres!
3. excellent FT shooting and finding at least one starter who is greater than 82% is a key ingredient
4. teams that have the ability to win high scoring wins vs fast teams and gritty defensive battles vs your Virginia or Houston type grinding teams
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Some definite trends are emerging late in the season......Saturday began to show some. I have noticed some things over the past few weeks as well
#1 - Vegas was slow to adjust to the OVER trend in NCAAB this year but has over inflated their totals in many games and the OVER tends to only hit on these high numbers (162+) when OT presents itself for the most part (not every case so don't assume that every number over this won't hit)
#2 - road teams of quality are beginning to chew on the inflated home lines of -4.5 to -9 .....generally, a home line higher than this, tends to win moneyline and cover regularly.....but things have shifted from home dogs early in the year having their usual success to road dogs doing ok and hitting on a higher %
The best part about not focusing on SIDES as much this year, is that I can now have a fresh perspective on building my DATA CHART on which teams are strong based on some key factors that you want to GO FAR in the NCAAB tourney:
1. strong on neutral court or visitor courts
2. excellent defending on the perimeter which I am seeing is vital now more than ever in today's shooting from anywhere and from any player including centres!
3. excellent FT shooting and finding at least one starter who is greater than 82% is a key ingredient
4. teams that have the ability to win high scoring wins vs fast teams and gritty defensive battles vs your Virginia or Houston type grinding teams
Tennessee Tech pounds on their state rival almost every game!
x2 U Tennessee Tech -4
x Half U Pitt +6 .... they grind on you with strong defense and an efficient offense with excellent offensive rebounding which are vital vs a possession offense in Virginia....debated going OVER 122.5 but I see a score of 64 - 59 almost definitely as Pitt will likely fall into foul trouble late and score will climb from the free throw line
What is the hell up with Kentucky? I tune into a game and they want to always score fast and early or ally oop their way to beating teams and the film room is winning games for the visitor!
x Half U Ole Miss +8.5 ....can hit the 3 ball well and hang with this team if motivated.... Calipari has become a clown act on the sideline with his substitutions and perplexed/worried face for his players constantly....Sheppard is a revelation as a calm cool leader who tunes him out, but not the rest of the players I think
x1 U OVER 155 New Mex - Nevada... do I New Mex scoring over 75 ? 100%....do I see Nevada shooting so poorly as their last game vs UNM? NO! They should score over 75 too and in fact, I definitely see one and maybe both scoring above 80 pts in a humdinger of a game!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Tennessee Tech pounds on their state rival almost every game!
x2 U Tennessee Tech -4
x Half U Pitt +6 .... they grind on you with strong defense and an efficient offense with excellent offensive rebounding which are vital vs a possession offense in Virginia....debated going OVER 122.5 but I see a score of 64 - 59 almost definitely as Pitt will likely fall into foul trouble late and score will climb from the free throw line
What is the hell up with Kentucky? I tune into a game and they want to always score fast and early or ally oop their way to beating teams and the film room is winning games for the visitor!
x Half U Ole Miss +8.5 ....can hit the 3 ball well and hang with this team if motivated.... Calipari has become a clown act on the sideline with his substitutions and perplexed/worried face for his players constantly....Sheppard is a revelation as a calm cool leader who tunes him out, but not the rest of the players I think
x1 U OVER 155 New Mex - Nevada... do I New Mex scoring over 75 ? 100%....do I see Nevada shooting so poorly as their last game vs UNM? NO! They should score over 75 too and in fact, I definitely see one and maybe both scoring above 80 pts in a humdinger of a game!
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
2 freakin games in a row when I needed it and it looked dire to cover!
Hot Forum Topics
