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NBA PLAYOFFS......................................................2019

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Posted: #101
1st round........................................  won 15 units

games --- 12-9 ATS, won 8.38 units
totals --- 3-2, lost .4 units
ML --- 3-1, won 2.68 units
parlays --- 2-2, won 5.56
series winners --- 1-3, lost 1.2 units
 
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Posted: #102
Looks like both Curry and Thompson questionable today.

I still think Warriors win if they miss only 1 game and come back healthy not limping around playing out of need.

But because we can not possibly know that answer only thing to do is pass on this game and series. But we still can find some spots based on how things go where we'll have an edge.

I suspect Rockets would have won 1 game anyway in GS so regardless if that game comes in game 1 with both players out or comes with both players healthy does not really matter it would still be 1-1 either way.

If Warriors can get 1 game at home with both players back healthy in game 3 , Warriors should win.
 
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Posted: #103

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Looks like both Curry and Thompson questionable today.I still think Warriors win if they miss only 1 game and come back healthy not limping around playing out of need.But because we can not possibly know that answer only thing to do is pass on this game and series. But we still can find some spots based on how things go where we'll have an edge.I suspect Rockets would have won 1 game anyway in GS so regardless if that game comes in game 1 with both players out or comes with both players healthy does not really matter it would still be 1-1 either way.If Warriors can get 1 game at home with both players back healthy in game 3 , Warriors should win.

 

Rockets are definitely  aware of this . No boogie means attack that paint and get physical  . Curry on a bad ankle and klay on a bad ankle means they'll lean on KD which is something they'll live with . 

 
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Posted: #104

Game one is basically game 7 for these rockets. they know how big it is to steal this one . If they dont go all in on this opportunity I dont know how they think they can win this series 

 
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Posted: #105
WEAK REBOUNDING TEAMS DON'T WIN TITLES....................

Rockets finished regular season 48.6 % , not even close to championship caliber.

They're best rebounder Capela did miss 15 games, sure that makes a difference.

But how much ?

When we look at 1st round Rockets finished 2cd to last in defensive rebounding only in front of Nets.

And 4th from the bottom in off rebs.

Rockets did out-shoot Jazz by about 3.4%, that is very good. 

But shooting efficiency without rebounding does not win many titles.

Now, with all that said, not sure how much we can take from a small sample of 1st round games but looking at Capela missing only 15 games, that is not an overly large amount for Rockets to be so poor at rebounding.

I'd question whether the Rockets have what it takes to win the title..

I don't think so.............................

But they could beat the Warriors with those injuries ................ maybe at full strength but I don't it.
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyTalks789:

Game one is basically game 7 for these rockets. they know how big it is to steal this one . If they dont go all in on this opportunity I dont know how they think they can win this series 




YEP, pressure basically is on them, if they lose here , WOW, that would be brutal.
 
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Posted: #107
PENDING PLAYS........................sun


Celtics +7.5 over Bucks --- 2.2 units
Celtics 1st half +4.5 --- 1.1 units
 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

PENDING PLAYS........................sun


Celtics +7.5 over Bucks --- 2.2 units
Celtics 1st half +4.5 --- 1.1 units

Same side claw....
Hoping it will win just like warriors...
 
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Posted: #109
1st half in the books..... C's even got the ML.
 
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Posted: #110
Here comes the over-reaction
 
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Posted: #111

Thank you Claw I almost played on Bucks until i saw your posts and i played Boston and took a shot at the ML.

Im gonna take a shot at Houston seems road teams do well in game 1 and this is Houston's best chance.

 moneybagmoneybagpeace_5

 
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Posted: #112
Awesome run Claw,


 
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Posted: #113

Nice work!clover

 
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Posted: #114
Claw would it be now a good time to take the bucks to win the series ?
Or would you wait?
 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:

Claw would it be now a good time to take the bucks to win the series ?
Or would you wait?

Yes, down to an incredible -115, crazy good value.

I'll wait for now to see if 76ers win SU then parlay Raps and Bucks to win series.
 
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Posted: #116
Loads of over-reaction thus far on Celtics big win which was to be expected the Bucks would regress.

Paul Pierce said it's over already after game 1, of course being a former Celtic is part of his motivation but great of  jinxing the team.

Even some threads here on the site, wow crazy after just 1 game.

Bucks should be just fine.
 
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Posted: #117
games --- 2-0 ATS, won 3 units
 
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Posted: #118
MY LINES....................................mon


Raptors -6.13 over 76ers
Nuggets -2.73 over Blazers


Our largest mismatch teams opened the playoffs on a 5-0 ATS , not likely they would continue at such a high rate and they did not as Bucks went down

Raptors likely the next team to go down tonight ATS and possible SU loss for Raps.

Then, if this happens things will get much better of our teams.

Raps off 3 ATS wins with and 4 of 5 ATS wins with only loss by half a point.

And public off a 4-1 run including over 70% on Celtics, public now big on Raps.

If we look at total ave mismatch Raps only better then 76ers by .88, less then 1 point as 76ers are the far, far better rebounding team.

Will look for 76ers to cover and possible SU win.

May wait-out the line and post later if we can get 7.


 
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Posted: #119
76ers +7 over Raps - 2.2 units
76ers ML +245 --- .5 unit  to win 1.22 units

76ers 1st half +4 --- 1.1 units 
76ers ML 1st half +185 ---  .5 units to win .92 units
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

76ers +7 over Raps - 2.2 units
76ers ML +245 --- .5 unit  to win 1.22 units

76ers 1st half +4 --- 1.1 units 
76ers ML 1st half +185 ---  .5 units to win .92 units

Good to see you on 76ers... 

I remembered what you said as well...got $4K on this so far... Thinking to add more.

BOL tonight claw...
 
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Posted: #121

Quote Originally Posted by midnightprowl:

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

76ers +7 over Raps - 2.2 units76ers ML +245 --- .5 unit  to win 1.22 units76ers 1st half +4 --- 1.1 units 76ers ML 1st half +185 ---  .5 units to win .92 units
Good to see you on 76ers... I remembered what you said as well...got $4K on this so far... Thinking to add more.BOL tonight claw...

 

Embid might not be playing... 

 
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Posted: #122
I doubt embiid misses this game. he has stomach illness right now
 
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Posted: #123
Claw your analysis on raptors and bucks have been spot.

Cannot wait for your next analysis. 

IMO bucks do come back and beat Celtics. But would love to see your opinion on this game.
 
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Posted: #124
76ers rolling, up 18 with about 4 min in 1st half 

We should get both line and ML
 
 
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Posted: #125
Yes sir....
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