fightingillini

@mikeyp1

I wager mostly on horses but always have a horse or two I include in exotics because of jockey in the Derby. Flavien Prat usually has an exceptional ride in the Derby. One to keep an eye on for next year no matter the horse(probably put the jinx on now lol). He tends to get mount on top 5-7 range horse now but those first few years he was riding 40/1 to 65/1 horses and still getting results.

2017 3rd

2018 10th (dreaded number 17 post)

2019 1st

2021 2nd

2022 3rd

2023 3rd

2024 4th

3 ending up going off around 16-1 to 18-1 range and the 2 was the 2nd favorite. Bunch of people had favorite 17 Fierceness and 2 Sierra Leone in exotic wagers. Thought pretty decent payouts for exacta and trifecta considering the first 3 horses were top 7 in odds.  Love playing the WPS pools in the Derby

Didn't see Encino scratched

Ugh!

Top two look tough and records are made to be broken. Looking at PP for the top 2 horses

17: 0 wins in 44 starts

2: Last win in 1978 (Affirmed)

Willing to let them beat me but not throwing them on top of any keys

      @BigMick87

All good no judgment. Just trying to get the right info out to those who handicap. It's likely Mexico and Dominican Republic have similar temperatures at the moment. Big difference is wind speed and direction at these places. 

Few minor handicapping tips.....

If there are golfers you haven't heard of just do a google search. It will pop up real quick. Between Korn Ferry, overseas, etc there are a ton of golfers but easy to find information on them.

Corales Puntacana Championship is not in Mexico. Punta Cana located in Dominican Republic

Good to see you back jmittseff! I check-in once in a blue moon these days

Thriston Lawrence (Puntacana Championship event)

For the field strength, solid pre-tourney wager. Will need a monster second round to contend after shooting -1. Love playing the secondary tournaments when the field is weak and out of the country. Riding Ben Martin the most with little on Sam Stevens and Adrien Dumont de Chassart.

I am on the BC ML

Neither team is good but Syracuse has been horrendous lately. Know they have played tougher schedule but outscored 98-13 in 1st half last 4 games. Down 14 to Clemson at home, down 30 to UNC on road, down 14 to FSU on road and down 27 to VT on road all in the 1st half.

Use to post on this forum for awhile but just check in a few times a year now. Huge course for iron players this week. Grillo has a monster iron game just needs to find consistency with the putter. If Cameron Young brings his A game I think he will be in the running to take it.  

I have no action on a particular golfer but prop bet. Last year few guys nailed hole in one at this course. One of the easier courses to do this(for the professionals). Have money on Hole in One for Tourney +100 Yes, Hole in One Round 1 +400, Round 2 +400, Hole in One Round 3 +800, Round 4 +800. Looks like already hit for tourney and Round One.....love to see a few more as the tourney goes on 

Bad Beats game for some, winners for others. Crazy ending!

Lucked out on the right side tonight, tomorrow is another day 

I have no money on this game yet but I am looking at few key injuries before pulling the trigger. I will be on Jacksonville State and the line if so.

Sam Houston State offense is reminding me of UMass from a year or two ago. D is holding at times but the offense is miles behind. SHS top RB and WR were both questionable coming into this week.

RB Anwar Lewis hasn't played yet this season for Jacksonville State. He is questionable again this week but if this kid is caught back up and playing I am all over Jacksonville State. All-Conference type player and been waiting to see his status coming into GameDay.....

Long time since I have posted on the golf forum. Use to post my picks all the time and now check in once or twice a year. Playing the Corales Punta Cana Championship on PGA Tour and Club Car Championship on the Korn Ferry Tour this week. Always enjoyed the secondary tourneys going on and longer shot value.

Punta Cana Championship

Ton of secondary talent at this event and Wyndham Clark is the heavy favorite in the 7/1 to 9/1 range. Clark can drill it and his success if on will come on the par 5s. If Clark beats me I can live with that......but him being a single digit favorite is absurd. Wind is always a factor but the course sets up for low scores. Not sure if he will show up but like Ben Martin a lot this week.

Ben Martin    29/1 win  Top 20 +150

Cameron Percy            Top 20 +200

Brian Stuard               Top 20 +650

Club Car Championship (KFT)

Going more with vets and dogs at this course. Number of these guys have experience on this course...they are dogs for a reason but like the value. If young guns show up I am out of this quickly.

Brett Drewitt 35/1

Jimmy Stanger 65/1

Mark Anderson 100/1

Grant Hirschman 100/1

Ryan Blaum 130/1

Dawson Armstrong 150/1

Have few parlay plays between the two tourneys also....not typing the excel length essay plus the odds off hitting are insane lol

EKU defender fouled 3 point shooter and coach got a technical

Player made 4 of 5 FTS

Wagered and hit on Troy all week. Hit ML and teaser on Troy vs FSU and hammered the line vs Merrimack yesterday and won. Troy is competitive and played some down opponents. They play St Thomas MN this evening who lost to Montana by 19 last night. I jumped on Troy at -4 vs St Thomas MN when I saw it on DK last night. Feel like the line -5 vs Merrimack and -4 vs St Thomas MN are super low. Likely last time I am playing Troy for a bit as not sure against them vs Montana.

Think the line is -4.5 for Troy now, but anyone else think the lines have been a bit low on Troy? See what happens....I bit yesterday and again today

Plenty of factors in this tourney. Second rate field with mix of lower end vets and younger guys. Weather looks rainy all week and wind is always a factor at sometime in this tourney. Looks like the wind is more mild than usual so far with all those low scores.

Am more of a longer shot guy but looked at Lower, Schenk and Smalley as guys in that 20-1 to 45-1 range. I am keeping an eye on these guys and few longer shots for live wagering as touney goes on. Such as Dylan Wu, Ben Martin, Harrison Endycott(good chance one Australian in the mix at the end of it if wind), etc.

Tourneys like this are fickle....Hubbard just needs to make a rally tomorrow. I have lost First Round Leader on tourneys like this with 100/1 odd guys to longer odds like Tommy Gainey for exampe probably around 200/1 to 300/1 FRL.  Keeping an extra eye on tourney going by my username following Detry and Hardy.

BOL Sacker 

I check into the golf forum every so often these days. Definitely right about a weak field at this event. I am going with a short course and past form guy that loves this event in Brian Gay. Have him all the way from 175/1 to win to top 5,10,20(top 20 is 6/1) in some parlay plays.

I like the input and takes

Looked at a few stats from last years game and it looks like QB Tai Lavatai is the main rusher SMU has faced from that game. SMU held Lavatai to 53 yards on 24 rushes. Rest of guys ran for 124 yards on 29 carries. Not an ideal day for the rushing game but game was tied at 24 until SMU scored a TD midway through the 4th quarter to win the game. Throw in this was a 5-0 SMU team facing a 1-3 Navy squad at the time. The key to Navy might be the faces SMU hasn't seen. Here are the leading rushing attempts for Navy on the season and none of the listed guys below had any rushing attempts in last years game except for Lavatai.

Lavatai QB 69

Fofana FB 67

Haywood WR 41

Hall Jr FB 40

Point FB 30

Terrell Jr WR 24

5-6 other guys under 10 carries