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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle: linde, my twitter is babystaxbundles - i never fuck with twitter hahahahhahah. check my twitter. i look like a schmuck. rjsizzle 7 followers? Great pic though.
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RJSizzle | 81 |
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Love what I'm seeing with Purdue and TTU...feeling slightly better about getting stuck with a shit number on Mizzou at 21 too.
Keep plugging you on Twitter, always love your stuff and hard to imagine others wouldn't... Hope all is well RJ
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RJSizzle | 81 |
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As I said, not all of these numbers are spot on. But, if you look back historically, you'll see that a lot of early GOY lines (even for Week 1 games) don't always end up being spot on. A lot of bigger bettors don't tip their hand until limits are higher and the game is closer.
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nickeydyme | 64 |
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And those of you who are basing the "mistakes" on what 5Dimes and BetOnline have put out, PLEASE save yourself the embarrassment...while the numbers might not end up being what's posted here, the numbers at those two places should be taken with a grain of salt as there's not a single sharp bettor who is bothering to waste their time with $250-500 limits.
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nickeydyme | 64 |
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Call me crazy, but there's some sort of legitimacy to this, as a lot of the obscure games are actually pretty damn close. I disagree with a handful of them, but for the most part, certainly not the worst lines I've ever seen...
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nickeydyme | 64 |
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That was fun
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RJSizzle | 216 |
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GL this bowl season Van...really glad to see you won't be suffering with TCU this time around
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vanzack | 74 |
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Daniels left the game for USF with an injury last week, I'd say that's why it's OTB...
Seeing eye-to-eye this week, as I expected...already played UK and ND, and will be on Indy, GT, and UF. Surprised you don't like tOSU as well. GL RJ, hope you turn it around this week
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RJSizzle | 59 |
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99: Colorado +6 & ML +320 (1st quarter) I'm either going to be really right about this game or really wrong. If USC comes out flat and Colorado comes to play we will see it in the first quarter. I think that scenario happens enough to warrant firing some first quarter plays. Nice hit...I was sweating for you
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andarmac99 | 42 |
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Thanks guys
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lindetrain | 8 |
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YTD: 36-21, +19.20 units
Friday: WAS -120 CAL +165 CHI +115 STL -109 All 1 unit Like the away team salami as well, but won't play due to being on the Blues |
lindetrain | 8 |
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I must confess that I too think you're staring at .500 with the Colorado and Oregon State bets - just gotten to the point where I can't invest on a play solely in hopes of one side coming out flat. With the talent discrepancy and it not necessarily being prime spots for Oregon State or Colorado (just awful spots for Stanford and USC), it's just not enough for me to invest on the dogs and expect to come out 2-0. Hope I'm wrong as there's nothing I like more than seeing a situation play out just like some of us think it could, I've just given up on trying to peg when a top 20 FBS team will play like absolute dogshit against bottom 20 FBS team.
GL this week andarmac
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andarmac99 | 42 |
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Week 9: 2-1, +0.90 units
YTD: 52-52-2, -6.42 units
Week 9 w/WA lines: 2-1, +0.90 units YTD w/WA lines: 44-46-2, -6.11 units Came up about eight yards short of a 3-0 day last week...just wasn't in the cards. This week: Kentucky +2 NC State +3.5 Washington State +9.5 Arizona -3 (-120) All 1 unit Will have thoughts later...GL this week everyone |
lindetrain | 2 |
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Well, hope you don't land on Cal minus the points, as we'll almost definitely be opposite there. But glad to see you on Zona...
GL this week Arid
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Arid_Torpor | 15 |
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YTD: 31-20, +14.65 units
Thursday: NJ +140 CLB -120 CHI -128 MIN +135 NAS -108 EDM +0.5 -112 All 1 unit |
lindetrain | 8 |
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YTD: 30-19, +14.92 units
Tuesday: NJ -127 PHO +100 1 unit each |
lindetrain | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle: Let me preface this by saying that it's not always possible for me to get the best line and sometimes I bet bad lines - I.e. NIU last night. I took 8.5 and missed out on anything over it. But the idea when gambling i to get the best possible lines in all instances. It's one of the only ways to maximize your edge over the book. So if I missed 4.5 and 4 I am not taking 3.5. About me liking SC. The line opened at 5. If it opened different for you, that's fine. Any favorite of 5 is a loser - no matter the teams on the field, which rarely matters. Couple that with the fact I think ark is trash, it wasn't very hard to place a bet. About lines that move, I couldnt care less. As long as the move isn't stiffing me with a bad line, I dont pay attention. Steam means nothing. The opening line means everything. Don't necessarily disagree with you wanting the best line, just found it interesting that a side you would absolutely love at 5 suddenly isn't a play now that you missed 4. I suppose 4 is key, but not nearly as key as 3, and I wouldn't think the move alone would deter you from playing the side unless it dropped under a FG. |
RJSizzle | 207 |
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle: There is never a reason to bet Ole Miss on the road at a short # - see Vandy. KY is just as talented defensively and better on offense. They are home etc. I know you aren't terribly concerned with anything outside the spot, but just to back you here, the Cats finally showed a bit of life offensively when Newton went down and Smith took over last week. The true freshman took them on three long 2H drives, made great reads, showed poise, etc. Honestly, I haven't come across many freshmen who looked more impressive in their first start/real game experience than he did last week. Didn't get the cash for me as they came up eight yards short in the 4Q, but his performance has me convinced they get it done this week if/when he's announced the starter. UK looks like a play despite Nutt's propensity to get the job done as a road dog. Interesting to me that you'll play a line in no man's land at 5, but when someone hits that line and moves it down to 3-4, you want no part of it. Perhaps NCSU isn't a lead-pipe lock, but my god, let's talk about a coaching advantage - and a team still in the hunt for the postseason while looking for their first home conference win. Thought you'd be all about buying the Pack after getting blanked and selling the Heels after a slightly deceiving 25-point win against Wake where they ran away with it in the 4Q. Be careful with NW. Fitzgerald is one of the best in the biz as a road dog, but backing a Cats team who can't stop anyone while going up against a Huskers D that seems to have righted the ship after the bye week seems like a scary proposition. Let's not forget how painfully pathetic these boys were the last time they came off a win/won their last road game, as they managed to walk away from West Point with an L. Think NU has to keep the pedal to the metal after dicking around the entire first half of the season. Baffled by your lean to Cal as well, considering any potential momentum gained from the Utah win was lost last week in LA, and they run into a Wazzu squad hungry to end a four-game skid and six-game series skid. Cougs finally stuck with Lobbestael last week and it paid off as they hung tough in Eugene. Could potentially see a Cal win here, but certainly not a blowout. Keep killing it RJ...always enjoy the thread |
RJSizzle | 207 |
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YTD: 28-17, +15.14 units
Promising start to the season with a great first month... Tuesday: 2 units CAR -111 1 unit ANA +0.5 -110 DET -200 VAN/CAL U5.5 -122 GL everyone |
lindetrain | 8 |
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andarmac99 | 24 |
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