TumblingDice75

Overall: 38 - 31 - 2   +6.12   

Sides: 27 - 19 - 1   +6.68

Totals: 7 - 9 - 1      -2.86

Props: 4 - 2          +2.80

Parlays: 0 - 1         - .50

Green Bay -3.5 -108 FanDuel

Arizona +4 -110 BetRivers

Atlanta -2 -110 BetRivers

Buffalo -3 -110 BetRivers

Carolina +11 -108 DraftKings

Over 45 IND/HOU -112 DraftKings

Good Luck

Overall: 37 - 28 - 2   +8.33   

Sides: 26 - 17 - 1   +7.80

Totals: 7 - 8 - 1      -1.77

Props: 4 - 2          +2.80

Parlays: 0 - 1         - .50

Totals have been garbage the last two weeks. See if it's corrected tonight...

Tampa Bay MoneyLine +170 BetRivers

Tampa Bay +4.5 -112 BetRivers

Arizona MoneyLine -100 FanDuel

Over 44 LAC/ARZ -109 BetRivers

Good Luck

Internet shit the bed so running late. Will update record later.

Atlanta -3 -110

Green Bay -3.5 -105

Philadelphia -3 -110

Detroit MoneyLine +108

Indianapolis -3 -100

Cincinnati -5.5 -110

Over 44 MIA/IND -110

Over 42 CIn/CLE -109

Good Luck

Thanks Gents.

Tampa Bay -3.5 -105 FanDuel

Arizona +5.5 -108 DraftKings

Pittsburgh -3 -110 BetRivers

Under 42.5 TAM/NOR -108 DraftKings

Over 43 IND/TEN -109 BetRivers

Under 47 ARI/GRB -108 DraftKings

Good Luck

Overall: 31 - 20 - 1   +11.16   

Sides: 20 - 13 - 1   +6.17

Totals: 7 - 4          +2.69

Props: 4 - 2          +2.80

Parlays: 0 - 1         - .50

Jacksonville MoneyLine -102 FanDuel

Good Luck

Says who? Whoever it is, is wrong.

Agreed. I've been leaning that way more and more even though these receivers/big plays against beat-up defenses scare me with the Under but I see the script playing out very similarly to you.

Good Luck Biscuit

Overall: 31 - 19 - 1   +11.66   

Sides: 20 - 13 - 1   +6.17

Totals: 7 - 4          +2.69

Props: 4 - 2          +2.80

Not a big parlay player and risk only half units on them but I like this correlation tonight...

Seattle +3.5 and Under 49 +240 BetRivers  .5 Units to win 1.20 Units

Good Luck

Talking to myself and more concerning answering myself conversations along with random notes I have jotted down so far for this one...

- SAF missing key players right down the middle of their defense at all three levels. 21st defensively in yds per rush

- SAF averages 6th most rushing attempts per game offensively in NFL and SEA(last in rush attempts) wants to run more. Clock could be running non-stop, Under at 49? Tough w/ passing game advantages both teams have leaning heavily to big plays and Over.

- SAF no actual practices with short turnaround while incorporating new safety(reportedly a rookie, *to be verified*) into secondary vs these SEA receivers. Communication, blown coverages?

- SAF FG kicker could be sorely missed with their 29th Red Zone TD% ranking, add in Shanahan's questionable decision-making making and this could get interesting on fourth downs in SEA territory

- SAF receivers mismatches against the SEA secondary more so w/ SEA injuries and SAF run game vs SEA banged up, struggling run defense.

- SEA balance, balance, balance! And they know it... "I think if we get Ken 10 more touches, 15 more touches things are going to be different." -SEA OC Ryan Grubbs after NYG loss and Walker only got five carries

- SEA can running game be effective enough against SAF banged-up, 21st ranked yards per rush allowed defense to help shaky OLine back off SAF pass rush and give time for vet QB to exploit matchup advantages SEA has downfield?

- SEA is primetime home dog off a home loss, in one of the league's loudest stadiums, playing a banged-up, hated division rival, and getting three plus the hook? Sure sounds good 

- SEA new head coach MacDonald went into SAF and dominated Shanahan's offense in '23 as BAL DC, forcing five INT's from SAF(4 from Purdy) in 33-19 win. Was this the win that sealed deal on SEA HC job? Different talent level in SEA than BAL but scheme proven sound vs Shanahan offense.

Good shit. You're kicking ass. 

Is the win-loss record with the teased line? I've been watching your posts and becoming increasingly curious about exactly what you're doing. Interesting for sure, not to mention pretty damn successful from what I've seen.

Tough decision...

If it works, you're a genius. If it doesn't, you adjust quickly and pivot since you currently have a top pick in 2025.

Ballsy call, because if it doesn't, you not only possibly lose Maye mentally/confidence-wise but probably also your job but I do agree with it. With no hope, as it stands, to do much this year, you have to see if this kid can be the answer. If you think he is, you fill one of their many other holes in the Draft.

Classic!

Overall: 31 - 19 - 1   +11.66   

Sides: 20 - 13 - 1   +6.17

Totals: 7 - 4          +2.69

Props: 4 - 2          +2.80

Kansas City win to top off an 8 - 1 week. Onward to Week 6.

Good Luck 2good!

Where are you seeing that and who are you saying is their Center?

Ruiz is inactive and both Lemieux and McCoy are on IR. Nobody else has started a game at center for them this season.

I'm still not sure what matchup you see that the Saints can exploit...  What I will say is that if the Saints' backfield is consistently occupied by 300-pounders wearing red, a scenario likely due to injuries and the Chiefs' formidable defensive line, then the Saints will have problems establishing anything on the ground or in the air offensively.

Can you expand on exactly what matchups you see as favorable for the Saints? Especially offensively? 

Overall: 30 - 19 - 1   +10.66   

Sides: 19 - 13 - 1   +5.17

Totals: 7 - 4          +2.69

Props: 4 - 2          +2.80

Kansas City -5.5 -108 DraftKings

Copied and pasted from a post I made in another thread...

For me, it comes down to injuries but not the high-profile, skill position ones most want to talk about. The Saints are completely decimated on the interior offensive line with injuries to multiple centers and guards. This is problematic for a team that relies on the run to establish the play-action, over-the-top explosives they thrive on. And against a Chiefs team with Chris Jones lining up over that same patchwork interior, it could be devastating. Center is one of the most underrated positions in the NFL because of, amongst other things, their communication responsibilities. Because of a rash of injuries at the position, they are going on the road, in a loud, hostile Arrowhead with a center they just signed from the Jets practice squad that was recently pondering retirement and hasn't played a game in over a year. DC Spagnuolo will exploit this weakness.

On the other side of the ball, the Saints' linebacking corps is also decimated with two of the starting three missing. The one starter that is playing tonight is just returning from injury. For a team that has had problems with tight ends (see recent game vs Goedert and multiple 2023 games vs top-notch tight ends) running into the Chiefs, who are sure to feature Kelce more with their injuries, could be a major issue.   

Add in, a dome team built for speed outside on natural grass, Kansas City easily having the better of the two quarterbacks, and an overall physical advantage (especially in the trenches) in the Chiefs' favor, and I don't see the Saints keeping up.

Good Luck

I agree with the Chiefs, but I'm not sold on the Total either way. I'm holding off to see if I can get a five at one of my outs. 

For me, it comes down to injuries but not the high-profile, skill position ones most want to talk about. The Saints are completely decimated on the interior offensive line with injuries to multiple centers and guards. This is problematic for a team that relies on the run to establish the play-action, over-the-top explosives they thrive on. And against a Chiefs team with Chris Jones lining up over that same patchwork interior, it could be devastating. Center is one of the most underrated positions in the NFL because of, amongst other things, their communication responsibilities. Because of a rash of injuries at the position, they are going on the road, in a loud, hostile Arrowhead with a center they just signed from the Jets practice squad that was recently pondering retirement and hasn't played a game in over a year. DC Spagnuolo will exploit this weakness.

On the other side of the ball, the Saints' linebacking corps is also decimated with two of the starting three missing. The one starter that is playing tonight is just returning from injury. For a team that has had problems with tight ends (see recent game vs Goedert and multiple 2023 games vs top-notch tight ends) running into the Chiefs, who are sure to feature Kelce more with their injuries, could be a major issue.   

Add in, a dome team built for speed outside on natural grass, Kansas City easily having the better of the two quarterbacks, and an overall physical advantage (especially in the trenches) in the Chiefs' favor, and I don't see the Saints keeping up.