Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

This afternoon's clash in the Battle of Texas will determine the winner of this year's Silver Boot, an honor the Rangers haven't claimed since 2017. Yusei Kikuchi's overall shaky numbers make this a tough hill for the Astros to climb.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Aug 7, 2024 • 08:35 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Yusei Kikuchi Houston Astros MLB
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The Silver Boot is up for grabs today when the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers meet in the rubber game of their 13-game season series.
 
Houston starter Yusei Kikuchi has been a strikeout machine with mixed results this season and my Astros vs. Rangers predictions expect the home side will be ready for him. 

Find out why my MLB picks like Texas' struggling bats to come alive today at Globe Life Field.

Astros vs Rangers prediction

My best bet
Rangers moneyline (+100 at DraftKings)

My analysis

The Silver Boot is the prize this afternoon when the Houston Astros meet the Texas Rangers for the 13th and final time this season.

These clubs have split their previous 12 meetings — this series is always a tough battle for both franchises, and today’s ballgame should be a good one.

Newly acquired Astros lefty Yusei Kikuchi gets the nod for the second time since coming over in a trade-deadline move with Toronto. His first home start went well with Kikuchi scattering three hits, 11 punch outs, and a pair of earned runs across 5 2/3 frames in the Astros' 3-2 triumph over Tampa Bay.

Kikuchi is striking out a batter per stanza but has demonstrated command issues, issuing two or more free passes in five of his last six starts while coughing up six bombs, which could cause the lefty a few problems today.

The Rangers offense has been inconsistent this season — they were one-hit yesterday by Framber Valdez and have only scored 21 runs across their past five — but they should cross the plate a few times today, in part due to their 10th-ranked walk rate vs. southpaws (8.8%). And Kikuchi has been less impressive than Valdez this season and throughout their respective careers.

That leaves it up to righty Jose Urena to stymie the Astros' sticks. Urena has terrific home splits this season — allowing only 12 earned runs with five bombs across 42 1/3 frames at Globe Life.

Texas hasn’t won the Silver Boot since 2017, but I expect the Rangers bats to grab an early lead, and for Urena and the Texas bullpen to dominate today's season series finale

Astros vs Rangers same-game parlay (SGP)

Rangers moneyline

Yusei Kikuchi Under 16.5 outs

Yusei Kikuchi Over 1.5 walks

Yes, we are picking on Kikuchi today.

He’s failed to clear his innings prop in three of his last six starts and has averaged only 14.7 outs across his previous 10. Walks and home runs have been the culprits, and they meet a Rangers offense that has showcased patience in these matchups.

That’s why I like the Rangers to win the Silver Boot. The Texas bats have a terrific opportunity, but I also like how the Rangers bullpen is throwing. They've recorded 11 holds with just one blown save across their last 72 frames.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Astros vs Rangers odds

Astros vs Rangers live odds

Astros vs Rangers opening odds

  • Run line: Houston -1.5 (+135) | Texas +1.5 (-160)
  • Moneyline: Houston -120 | Texas +100
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (-110) | Under 9 (-110)

Astros vs Rangers spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Houston is a slight favorite, but some money came in on Texas. Astros ML backers are down $644 when the ‘Stros hit from the visitors' dugout.
  • Texas is 31-26 as the home team.
  • Over 9 bettors are paying as low as –105 while Under 9 (-110) is the best price. 

Astros vs Rangers trend

The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Rangers.

Astros vs Rangers game info

Location: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date: Wednesday, 8-7-2024
First pitch: 2:35 p.m. ET
TV: SCHN, Bally Sports Southwest 
Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
(4-9, 4.67 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher: Jose Urena
(3-6, 3.70 ERA)

Astros vs Rangers latest injuries

Astros vs Rangers weather

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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