Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

New York's best bats have fared well against Kevin Gausman over his career and we expect that to continue at Yankee Stadium tonight.

Tom Oldfield - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst
Aug 2, 2024 • 11:12 ET • 4 min read
Information icon

This article contains predictions for an old game!

Latest MLB Picks
Juan Soto New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees finished July on a five-game win streak and my Blue Jays vs. Yankees predictions think they’ll keep rolling tonight as they face the Toronto Blue Jays, who waved the white flag at the trade deadline.

That stretch of victories has quietened some of the bubbling unease for the Yankees, and their sweep of the NL-leading Phillies earlier this week was a major statement. While New York upgraded its roster at the deadline, Toronto was in seller mode, and my MLB picks break down what that means for tonight's contest. 

Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction

My best bet
Yankees team total Over 4.5 (-125 at PROLINE+)

My analysis
The high-powered New York Yankees offense has rediscovered its swagger as we enter a critical stretch in the AL East division race — and DJ LeMahieu even joined the party with a six-RBI outing against the Phillies on Wednesday.

I expect another productive night at the plate here for the hosts, and this prop offers value for a Yankees team that has scored 5+ runs in six straight games while piling up 74 hits in that span. That’s not all: the hosts have been peppering the Over lately — it’s 9-1 in their past 10 contests and 35-16 in their last 51 games. They lead the AL in runs and OBP, and rank second in home runs and OPS.

Kevin Gausman takes the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays on the heels of largely steady starts in July, but his head-to-head clashes with New York’s power bats tell an ominous story.

Juan Soto, Aaron Judge, and Giancarlo Stanton have combined to go 25-for-69 with eight home runs over the years against him, and he was chased from the game after 1 1/3 innings in his last visit to Yankee Stadium. Gausman also gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work against New York at Rogers Centre in late June, including a Judge dinger.

Then there’s the depleted Toronto bullpen that’s light on experienced arms after moving Yimi Garcia and Nate Pearson at the trade deadline. That opens the door for late-innings damage, with Toronto's reliever group in flux.

Given the visitors’ erratic offense, I’m hesitant to take the Over 9.5, but a Yankees lineup that’s averaging 5.15 runs per game this year is well-placed to put at least five runs on the board tonight. 

Blue Jays star player prop

My best bet
George Springer Over 0.5 RBI (+190 at PROLINE+)

My analysis
As the Blue Jays shift towards a youth movement in this lost season, we’re going to see lots of Spencer Horwitz, Davis Schneider, Addison Bargar, and Leo Jimenez. However, even in this roster evaluation phase, they'll still need some veteran hitters to surround their younger bats.

That includes George Springer in the lead-off spot, and he’s coming off his best month of the year, hitting .274 in July with 16 RBI. Toronto didn’t find a deal for Springer before the deadline, and they’ll need him in the outfield after sending Kevin Kiermaier to the Dodgers. 

Springer has seen plenty of New York starter Marcus Stroman over the years, going 4-for-16 with two doubles. Stroman brings an impressive 3.64 ERA into this contest, but his last five appearances have been rockier (5.64 ERA).

Ontario sports bettors: Play the Jays your way with PROLINE+

Ontario-owned and operated, PROLINE+ has a robust market offering at its disposal and reinvests 100% of its profits back into the province — join today!

Blue Jays vs Yankees odds

Blue Jays vs Yankees live odds

Blue Jays vs Yankees opening odds

  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-135) | New York -1.5 (+115)
  • Moneyline: Toronto +145 | New York -170
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Blue Jays vs Yankees spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Yankees enter as big favorites despite a slightly underwhelming 27-23 mark at home, while the Blue Jays drag a 24-31 road record in this clash.

  • Toronto is 7-7 in its last 14 outings away from Rogers Centre, but the visitors dropped three of their four games against the Orioles this week.

  • These teams have split their last 10 meetings, with the Over hitting in eight of those contests and lopsided scorelines in the past four matchups.

  • The Over is also 8-2 in Toronto’s past 10 games, with the Blue Jays allowing six or more runs three times this week.

Blue Jays vs Yankees trend

The Yankees have gone Over their first-five team total in 52 of their last 87 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Yankees.

Blue Jays vs Yankees game info

Location: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Date: Friday, 8-2-2024
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet, YES
Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
(9-8, 4.44 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
(7-5, 3.64 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Yankees latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Yankees weather

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo