It's another edition of Sunday Night Baseball, and this time, it features Cardinals vs. Phillies predictions.
The St. Louis Cardinals will be looking to avoid the sweep tonight after the Philadelphia Phillies took the first two games with decisive victories.
Is a sweep on the cards in our MLB picks on Sunday, June 2?
Cardinals vs Phillies prediction
My best bet
Cardinals moneyline (+120 at FanDuel)
My analysis
Lance Lynn has been solid? The veteran will take the mound for the St. Louis Cardinals tonight, and after last season, it looked like he was ready for retirement rather than another year of pitching. However, 2024 has been a renaissance of at least some sort.
In his last five starts, Lynn posted a 2.6 ERA but got limited run support and only claimed one win. The metrics are a mixed bag, but Lynn has avoided the hard-hit ball ranking in the top 25% of baseball in that category.
Opposing Lynn is Taijuan Walker. Walker will enter today with an expected ERA over 6, one of the worst in the sport. The Cardinals present their own particular problems.
Walker's biggest issues are simply teams barrelling up balls against him. He's at the bottom of the league in barrel rate, hard-hit rate, and mostly any metric that indicates solid contact. The Cardinals aren't the most potent lineup in baseball, but they certainly have enough pop to trouble Walker. They'll enter this matchup near the bottom of baseball in these metrics, but the historical precedence set by some of their players suggests they should improve. I'm banking on some of that happening tonight against a pitcher who has been awful this season.
I'm backing the Cardinals today. Walker shouldn't be a favorite against nearly any starting pitcher for the moment, and I think that this reflects a false reality of what we've seen from Lynn. One pitcher is undoubtedly due for more wins, while the other is for a few more losses. Here's to that course correction starting tonight.
Cardinals vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)
Cardinals moneyline
Paul Goldschmidt Over 2.5 bases
Given my outlook on this game, there are ample opportunities in the prop market for Cardinals hitters with power, and a few are also on the Phillies.
I'm using Paul Goldschmidt to go Over 2.5 bases in my same-game parlay. Goldschmidt has the most power in the St. Louis lineup and has a career .330 average against Walker, with a lot of data behind it. It's a matchup he's seen well for a while now, and nothing should change when Walker appears to be having his worst career season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Cardinals vs Phillies odds
Cardinals vs Phillies live odds
Cardinals vs Phillies opening odds
- Run line: St. Louis +1.5 (-164) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+136)
- Moneyline: St. Louis +120 | Philadelphia -140
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Cardinals vs Phillies spread and Over/Under analysis
- One thing that made me pause about my best bet is how well Philly has performed in these head-to-head matchups recently. Entering today, the Phillies are 8-2 in the last ten games against the Cardinals.
- We've seen strong steam on the Over. At nearly every book at the time of publication, this total had moved anywhere from a half run to an entire run. It shouldn't be a surprise, given the two pitchers on the mound.
- Although it has struggled in this series, St. Louis has been strong recently, with wins in seven of their last ten games, netting bettors +4.4 units. Philly has gone 6-4 in that stretch, with bettors netting a slight loss.
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Cardinals vs Phillies trend
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last nine away games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cardinals vs. Phillies
Cardinals vs Phillies game info
| Location: | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date: | Sunday, 6-2-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Cardinals starting pitcher: | Lance Lynn (2-3, 3.45 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher: | Taijuan Walker (3-1, 5.51 ERA) |
Cardinals vs Phillies latest injuries
Cardinals vs Phillies weather
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