The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to clinch a series win on May 8 when they take on the Cincinnati Reds in the second game of their three-game series at the Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati has been struggling to generate offense, and my Diamondbacks vs. Reds predictions expect Arizona to walk out with a win. Find out more in my MLB picks ahead.
Diamondbacks vs Reds prediction
My best bet
Diamondbacks moneyline (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Cincinnati Reds haven’t been an awful team this year, at least not based on their raw numbers. Cincinnati is about average in both runs scored and runs allowed, averaging 4.40 per game in both categories. That’s the profile of a mediocre team that should be hanging around .500 all year long.
But recently, the Cincinnati lineup has gone ice cold. Over their last five games, the Reds have scored a total of just six runs. They’ve also allowed an average of 5.6 runs during that period — part of a six-game losing streak that has dropped them to fourth place in the NL Central.
Cincinnati might think it has a chance to break out tonight against Jordan Montgomery. The 31-year-old has struggled over his first three starts of the year, allowing 10 runs on 17 hits over just 16 innings of work.
But those numbers are likely skewed by a small sample size in which Montgomery has allowed an uncharacteristic three home runs. In recent seasons, Montgomery has consistently allowed less than one homer per nine innings. He’s also struck out around eight batters per nine innings, a number that’s down to 4.5 per nine this season.
Given how little Montgomery has pitched this year, I’m counting more on his career numbers than what we’ve seen so far in 2024. Meanwhile, the Arizona Diamondbacks offense is humming. After a recent downturn, the D-backs have put up 17 runs over their last two games— more in line with their Top 5 mark in baseball.
What's more impressive is they’ve been that good without the help of perhaps their biggest weapon, defending NL Rookie of the Year, Corbin Carroll. The 23-year-old is hitting just .211 with two homers on the season but has broken out this week, going 5-for-13 with a homer and seven RBI over his last three games. If Carroll is back to his 2023 form, this lineup will be tough for anyone to deal with.
While Graham Ashcraft (3-1, 3.63 ERA) is off to a solid start in 2024, he’s not the kind of frontline starter that can expect to slow down an explosive Diamondbacks lineup.
Diamondbacks vs Reds same-game parlay (SGP)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Under 9.5
Corbin Carroll to get a hit
The Diamondbacks should win tonight’s game, and while these offenses are both potent, the pitching matchup is too solid to justify an extremely high total. I’ll take the Under at 9.5 runs.
I’ll also take young Arizona star Corbin Carroll to pick up at least one hit today. While Carroll has struggled so far this season, he has hit in three straight games, picking up five knocks during that time.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Diamondbacks vs Reds odds
Diamondbacks vs Reds live odds
Diamondbacks vs Reds opening odds
- Run line: Arizona -1.5 (+135) | Cincinnati +1.5 (-160)
- Moneyline: Arizona -115 | Cincinnati -105
- Over/Under: Over 9.0 (-115) | Under (-105)
Diamondbacks vs Reds spread and Over/Under analysis
- Arizona opened at around a -120 favorite. As of noon on Wednesday, -110 is the best line available on the Diamondbacks, while you can find +100 on the Reds.
- Both teams have struggled on the moneyline this year, with Cincinnati down four units, while the Diamondbacks have dropped six units for bettors.
- The total for this game opened at nine runs, and that remains the consensus Over/Under. The Over is available at -110, while you can find the Under at -102.
- The Under has a 20-15 edge when Arizona plays, while the Over has gone 18-16 in Cincinnati’s games.
Diamondbacks vs Reds trend
The Reds are 0-6 in their last six games overall. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Reds
Diamondbacks vs Reds game info
| Location: | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH |
| Date: | Wednesday, 5-8-2024 |
| First pitch: | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FS1 |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher: | Jordan Montgomery (1-2, 5.63 ERA) |
| Reds starting pitcher: | Graham Ashcraft (3-1, 3.63 ERA) |
Diamondbacks vs Reds latest injuries
Diamondbacks vs Reds weather
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