The Los Angeles Dodgers and Los Angeles Angels may share a city, but there’s only one team set to play under the postseason spotlight this fall.
It’s a Hollywood showdown at Angel Stadium of Anaheim tonight, and my Dodgers vs. Angels predictions are backing righty Bobby Miller to prove he deserves a shot at starting in the playoffs.
See why my MLB picks are expecting a solid outing from Miller against the reeling Halos on September 4.
Dodgers vs Angels prediction
My best bet
Bobby Miller Over 15.5 outs recorded (+110 at bet365)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
It’s rare for me to target an Over in this MLB player props market, but the Los Angeles Angels are sending out a B-list lineup, and Los Angeles Dodgers starter Bobby Miller is auditioning for a starting role in the postseason rotation.
While this season has been a disaster for Miller, the promising righty spun a 3.76 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 3.75 WHIP across 22 starts in 2023, and he’s well below last year’s 138.2 innings across the majors and Triple-A. I expect him to have an extra long leash Wednesday night, and the Angels are by far the worst team he’s faced since returning to the majors August 17.
The Halos rank 27th with a .293 wOBA and 29th with a .298 on-base percentage against right-handed pitchers for the year, and they're Bottom 5 in both metrics overall since the All-Star break and across the past 30 days. Lacking punch at the plate and on-base ability is a plus for Miller pitching into the sixth inning, and he’s averaged 92.7 pitches across his noted past three starts.
Additionally, the Dodgers are a huge favorite, and Angels starter Griffin Canning has been ineffective over the past two years with the sixth-highest ERA (4.78) and 11th-highest xFIP (4.40) among starters with at least 250 innings. I expect the Dodgers to put runs on the board, and Miller to be pitching with a comfortable lead late into Wednesday’s game.
The Angels enter on a 5-15 skid while averaging just 2.8 runs per game, so backing Miller to pitch well is also an alternative option to backing the Dodgers moneyline or run line, and both are trading at significantly shorter odds.
Shohei Ohtani pick: Walking it off
My best bet
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 walks (-135 at bet365)
My analysis
The Angels took heat for intentionally walking Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani in extra innings Tuesday, and I anticipate them continuing to be extra cautious with him again tonight. Ohtani ranks seventh among the 159 qualified batters with a 13.4 BB% against right-handed pitchers this season, and Canning has also issued a healthy 3.25 BB/9 and 8.4 BB%.
Ohtani has also slotted into the leadoff spot, so he could potentially have five or more plate appearances. Additionally, while impossible to quantify, I think the Angels are more than happy to pitch around Ohtani and give him a free pass instead of showing up on the wrong side of the highlight reels in his return to Angel Stadium.
Dodgers vs Angels same-game parlay (SGP)
Dodgers -1.5 run line
Bobby Miller Over 15.5 outs
Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 walks
I fully expect the Dodgers to have a big night at the dish against Canning. In addition to his highlighted poor ratios, he’s also served up a 41.4 hard-hit rate, which includes an even higher 43.9% mark and 12.2 barrel percentage across his past six appearances.
The Dodgers also enter with a third-ranked .332 wOBA against right-handed pitchers for the season, and they’re cruising along a 12-3 heater while averaging 5.93 runs per game. As noted, the Angels' current stretch has been just the opposite.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Dodgers vs Angels odds
Dodgers vs Angels live odds
Dodgers vs Angels opening odds
- Moneyline: LAD -200 | LAA +165
- Run line: LAD -2 (-120) | LAA +2 (+100)
- Over/Under: Over 9 (-125) | Under 9 (+105)
Dodgers vs Angels moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- There hasn’t been notable movement to this moneyline at either Pinnacle or bet365.
- The Dodgers opened as a sizable road favorite at both shops, and I don’t anticipate a lot of action coming in on the Angels, given the highlighted statistical gaps between the two clubs.
- This total has climbed, with the number moving from an opening 9.5 at Pinnacle to 10.0 as of Wednesday morning.
- There has been an even larger adjustment at bet365. The shop opened at 9.0 (-125/+105) and is now also trading at 10.0 (-105/-115)
Dodgers vs Angels trend
The Los Angeles Angels have hit the team total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Angels.
Dodgers vs Angels game info
| Location: | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA |
| Date: | Wednesday, 9-4-2024 |
| First pitch: | 9:38 p.m. ET |
| TV: | SportsNet LA, Bally Sports West |
| Dodgers starting pitcher: | Bobby Miller (2-3, 7.25 ERA) |
| Angels starting pitcher: | Griffin Canning (4-12, 5.19 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Angels latest injuries
Dodgers vs Angels weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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