An NL West rivalry is on tap tonight when the Arizona Diamondbacks play host to the San Francisco Giants at Chase Field.
My Giants vs. Diamondbacks predictions see the offenses making noise in this one, with a particular Giants hitter inflicting damage in the desert.
Let’s dive deeper with my MLB picks for Monday, September 23.
Giants vs Diamondbacks prediction
My best bet
Jerar Encarnacion Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+110 at DraftKings)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
Jerar Encarnacion has hit left-handed pitchers very well this season, as the San Francisco Giants outfielder is sporting a .278 batting average and a 53.8% hard-hit rate against lefties.
The 26-year-old figures to be an even tougher out in a more hitter-friendly environment than he’s used to in San Francisco. The numbers suggest getting on the road will be beneficial as he’s cleared his H+R+R line in 71% of road games compared to just 50% at home.
Encarnacion finds himself with a nice matchup against a struggling left-handed arm in Eduardo Rodriguez. The southpaw hasn't pitched well since joining the Arizona Diamondbacks’ rotation, allowing three runs or more in five of eight starts and at least two runs in all but one game.
Rodriguez has posted a .354 xwOBA and 10.9% barrel rate since making his season debut on August 7. He ranks dead last among today’s projected starters in both categories during that span.
As a right-handed batter generating a lot of power — and hitting for a high average — against left-handed arms, Encarnacion figures to be a prime beneficiary of Rodriguez’s struggles.
Giants vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)
Jerar Encarnacion Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 hits
Corbin Carroll has been lights out at the plate for months, particularly when playing on home soil. He’s cleared his H+R+R line in 16 of the last 20 at home (80%) and 23 of the past 30 (77%).
Meanwhile, Heliot Ramos is one of the league’s most efficient hitters vs. left-handed pitchers. He has posted an absurd .369 average against Southpaws this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Giants vs Diamondbacks odds
Giants vs Diamondbacks live odds
Giants vs Diamondbacks opening odds
- Moneyline: San Francisco +145 | Arizona -170
- Run line: San Francisco +1.5 (-140) | Arizona -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-120)
Giants vs Diamondbacks moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- We’ve seen a little bit of movement on the moneyline. The Arizona Diamondbacks opened as -170 favorites and currently sit at -180.
- There has been no adjustment to the total, as it has held firm at 9.0 with a +100 price on the Over.
- The Giants have hit the game total Over in 45 of their last 78 away games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI).
- The Diamondbacks have hit the team total Over in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI).
Giants vs Diamondbacks trend
Encarnacion has cleared his H+R+R line in 10 of 14 games on the road. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Diamondbacks.
Giants vs Diamondbacks game info
| Location: | Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date: | Monday, 9-23-2024 |
| First pitch: | 9:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBCSBA, ARID |
| Giants starting pitcher: | Hayden Birdsong (3-5, 4.74 ERA) |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher: | Eduardo Rodriguez (2-3, 5.51 ERA) |
Giants vs Diamondbacks latest injuries
Giants vs Diamondbacks weather
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