The Philadelphia Phillies’ offense woke up in a big way Saturday night with an 8-0 shutout win over the Cleveland Guardians.
They’ll look to take the series in Sunday afternoon’s rubber match at Citizens Bank Park, and my Guardians vs. Phillies predictions like their chances of doing so. Find out why in my MLB picks for this July 28 showdown.
Guardians vs Phillies prediction
My best bet
Phillies moneyline (-142 at DraftKings)
My analysis
It was only a matter of time before the Philadelphia Phillies broke through offensively, and it came against former Philadelphia prospect Carlos Carrasco. Bryce Harper, Brandon Marsh, Kyle Schwarber, and Nick Castellanos all went deep as the Phils took it to the Cleveland Guardians.
The fact four players hit homers to go with a dozen hits on Saturday shows the Phillies’ offensive prowess. Philadelphia now has a chance to tee off against Cleveland starter Joey Cantillo
Cantillo has struggled in Triple-A, with the lefty sporting a 4.64 ERA over 95 innings. This Phillies' lineup is not an ideal matchup you want in your big-league debut.
The Phillies are 38-17 at home after Saturday’s win, while the Guardians dropped to 29-27 on the road. That’s impressive for Cleveland, but not when you compare it to its 33-15 record at home.
Finally, Cleveland’s offensive struggles can’t be overlooked. The Guardians have scored just five runs in their last four games and 13 in their last eight.
Guardians vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)
Neither the Phillies nor the Guardians are starting a pitcher with much experience on Sunday afternoon. Philadelphia’s offense woke up on Saturday night, and the Guardians could put a few on the board this afternoon against Kolby Allard (making his season debut).
I’m going with Trea Turner to get a hit once again to close out the same-game parlay. He’s batting .332 after a 1-for-4 outing last night
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Guardians vs Phillies odds
Guardians vs Phillies live odds
Guardians vs Phillies opening odds
- Run line: Cleveland +1.5 (-160) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+135)
- Moneyline: Cleveland +120 | Philadelphia -140
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-115) | Under 9.5 (-105)
Guardians vs Phillies spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Philadelphia Phillies odds opened a bit higher but were around -125 as of late Saturday night.
- The Cleveland Guardians are +120 underdogs after splitting the first two games of the series.
- The total is set at 9.5 with two lackluster pitchers on the mound.
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Guardians vs Phillies trend
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games at home. Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Phillies
Guardians vs Phillies game info
Location: | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
Date: | Sunday, 7-28-2024 |
First pitch: | 1:35 p.m. ET |
TV: | BSGL, NBCSP |
Guardians starting pitcher: | Joey Cantillo MLB debut |
Phillies starting pitcher: | Kolby Allard Season debut |
Guardians vs Phillies latest injuries
Guardians vs Phillies weather
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