MLB Player Props for 8-20: Best Bets for Wheeler, Contreras, & Ray

Robbie Ray is coming off an ugly start but an outing against the league-worst White Sox could be just what the doctor ordered.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Aug 20, 2024 • 12:41 ET • 4 min read
Robbie Ray San Francisco Giants MLB
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Zack Wheeler is in a familiar matchup against the division rival Braves today and my MLB picks expect another strong outing from the Phillies ace.

See why I'm also backing Brewers hard-hitting catcher William Contreras and Giants fireballer Robbie Ray with my MLB player props for August 20. 

MLB props for August 20

Today’s best MLB props

Prop bet #1: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 strikeouts

-110 at BetMGM

Zack Wheeler is putting together another terrific season with the Philadelphia Phillies, pitching to a 2.72 ERA with a 0.98 WHIP through 24 starts. Wheeler is in the Top 20th percentile in strikeout rate and chase rate and today, he faces an Atlanta Braves lineup that's 24th in the majors in strikeout rate and 20th in chase rate.

The All-Star hurler has spent his entire career in the NL East and has a history of mowing down Braves hitters. He's struck out 7+ batters in eight of his last 10 starts against Atlanta, pitching to a 2.35 ERA over that span. He's also racked up 7+ punchouts in five of his last seven starts overall.

Prop bet #2: William Contreras Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI

-120 at bet365

Milwaukee Brewers catcher William Contreras won his first Silver Slugger Award last year and he's been even better this season. He's slashing .282/.355/.464 with 80 runs and 71 RBI though 120 games.

Today, he's taking on the St. Louis Cardinals, who will send Erick Fedde to the mound. Fedde has been a mediocre starter for most of his career and while he put up good numbers with the White Sox at the start of the year, he's regressed since the Cards traded for him.

In his last four starts, he's pitched to a 5.85 ERA with an OBA of .275. Contreras has also mashed against Fedde in his career, going 5-for-8 at the plate with a pair of dingers.

Prop bet #3: Robbie Ray Over 6.5 strikeouts

-134 at FanDuel

Robbie Ray was third in the majors in strikeouts per 9 innings (12.1) in 2019 before leading the majors with 248 Ks in 2021. After having virtually his entire 2023 season wiped out by Tommy John surgery, the lefty is now back on the mound and throwing heat.

He made his season debut for the San Francisco Giants in late July and fanned 28 batters through just 20 1/3 innings in his first four starts. He was gradually seeing his pitch count rise and his velocity has returned to its pre-injury levels, with his four-seamer averaging 94.1 mph and his slider at 88.4 mph. 

Ray surrendered five runs and got the hook midway through the first inning in his previous start last Wednesday, but don't expect an early exit today at home against a Chicago White Sox lineup that bats .221 with an OPS of .617 against southpaws. He should pitch deep enough into this contest to surpass this number.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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