This AL series finale gets underway on Sunday with the Cleveland Guardians hosting the Texas Rangers at Progressive Field.
The total is hovering around 8.5 and our Rangers vs. Guardians predictions are eyeing the Under. Find out why in our MLB picks below.
Rangers vs Guardians prediction
My best bet
Under 8.5 (-114 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The Texas Rangers hand the ball to left-hander Cody Bradford this afternoon and the southpaw is 4-1 with a 3.56 ERA and 0.95 WHIP through eight appearances on the mound this season.
His underlying metrics are equally strong as Bradford ranks in the 60th percentile or higher in xERA, xBA, strikeout rate, walk rate, and hard-hit rate. He enters this contest in particularly good form, surrendering three or fewer runs in three consecutive starts.
He boasts a 3.00 ERA over that stretch. Meanwhile, left-hander Matthew Boyd takes the mound for the Cleveland Guardians.
This season, Cleveland’s relief staff ranks first in ERA, FIP, and xFIP. While both pitching staffs should take care of business, the hitting on each side is not as trustworthy. Both clubs rank in the bottom half of the league in hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, and OPS.
Rangers vs Guardians same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 8.5
Cody Bradford Over 3.5 strikeouts
Adolis Garcia Under 0.5 hits
Sticking with the theme of backing both starting pitchers, let’s take a look at Bradford’s prop market. He ranks in the top half of the league in chase, whiff, and strikeout rates.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Rangers vs Guardians odds
Rangers vs Guardians live odds
Rangers vs Guardians opening odds
- Moneyline: Texas +1.5 (-184) | Cleveland -1.5 (+152)
- Run line: Texas +108 | Cleveland -126
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Rangers vs Guardians moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- Cleveland opened as a -126 favorite and remains at that price at the time of writing.
- I project this line to move in the Guardians’ direction, given the gap in hitting and relief pitching.
- The total opened at 8.5 and also remains at that number. I belive it could sink, given the aforementioned variables.
Rangers vs Guardians trend
There have been eight or fewer total runs scored in seven of Cleveland’s past nine games. Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Guardians.
Rangers vs Guardians game info
| Location: | Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH |
| Date: | Sunday, 8-25-2024 |
| First pitch: | 2:40 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Sports Southwest, Bally Sports Great Lakes |
| Rangers starting pitcher: | Cody Bradford (4-1, 3.56 ERA) |
| Guardians starting pitcher: | Matthew Boyd (0-0, 3.38 ERA) |
Rangers vs Guardians latest injuries
Rangers vs Guardians weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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