The Boston Red Sox look to continue their momentum following their first win in five games as they hang around Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies.
Jarren Duran figures to be a big contributor for Boston and in my Red Sox vs. Rockies predictions as the visitors look to take the series in Denver.
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks on Wednesday, July 24.
Red Sox vs Rockies prediction
My best bet
Jarren Duran Over 2.5 hits + runs + RBI (-125 at bet365)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
The Boston Red Sox may not be winning as much as fans would like, but that’s no fault of Jarren Duran. Duran, who’s fresh off winning All-Star Game MVP in his first ASG appearance, has been one of the hottest bats in baseball since the start of June.
He’s been so dominant that most sportsbooks have bumped his total bases prop total up to 2.5 at +120 odds and are offering the odds on him to go Over 1.5 as short as -190. Those odds imply a 65.52% probability he’ll finish with at least two total bases, which is wild.
That’s why the better odds are to focus on him going Over 2.5 hits, runs, and RBI. He’s averaging 2.4 per game this season, but that’s jumped up to 2.97 per game over the last two months.
After slashing .365/.420/.636 in June, Duran hasn’t slowed much in July with 40 total bases, three dingers, and six straight games of at least three hits, runs, and RBI. Now Colorado Rockies starter Cal Quantrill is poised to be his next victim.
Unfortunately for Quantrill, his go-to pitch happens to be the worst pitch to throw against Duran. Duran is hammering sinkers — Quantrill uses his 39.7% of the time — batting .435 with a .597 SLG against them this season.
Quantrill has also been sporadic throughout the season and has allowed six home runs in his last five starts. That spells trouble for the 29-year-old, with Duran clocking 10 of his 12 homers off righties this season. One of baseball's hottest hitters facing a contact-first pitcher in hitter heaven Coors Field makes this the best bet on the day.
Red Sox vs Rockies same-game parlay (SGP)
Jarren Duran Over 2.5 H+R+RBI
Rafael Devers 1+ hits
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 total bases
Joining Duran at the All-Star Game was fellow Red Sox slugger Rafael Devers, who made his third appearance. He sits Top 3 in most batting categories for Boston, including hits (95), SLG (.578), and total bases (192).
He’s also been at his best over the last two months, averaging 1.1 hits per game. He should be able to register at least one off Quantrill, especially because he’s batting .310 or better against his top two pitches.
Unlike Duran and Devers, Ezequiel Tovar didn’t crack the All-Star roster this season — Ryan McMahon was Colorado's lone representative. However, Tovar has been the team’s most consistent bat. He leads the Rockies in hits (116), doubles (28), home runs (16), and total bases (196). Tovar has also been far more consistent against righties like Boston starter Nick Pivetta. He’s slashing .290/.307/.381 against right-handed pitchers this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Red Sox vs Rockies odds
Red Sox vs Rockies live odds
Red Sox vs Rockies opening odds
- Run line: Boston -1.5 (-105) | Colorado +1.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Boston -165 | Colorado +140
- Over/Under: Over 10 (-125) | Under 10 (+105)
Red Sox vs Rockies spread and Over/Under analysis
- Despite being on a 1-4 skid, Boston opened as a -162 to -175 moneyline favorite and there’s been little line movement.
- The Red Sox are 54-46 this season and sit third in the AL East while the Rockies are just 37-65 and last in the NL West.
- The Over/Under opened between 10 and 10.5 with most books now sitting between 10.5 and 11 — a few have the Under at even money.
- Boston is 47-46-7 betting the Over this season with Colorado slightly better at 52-48-2.
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Red Sox vs Rockies trend
The Boston Red Sox have hit the game total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Rockies
Red Sox vs Rockies game info
| Location: | Coors Field, Denver, CO |
| Date: | Wednesday, 7-24-2024 |
| First pitch: | 3:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | COLR, NESN |
| Red Sox starting pitcher: | Nick Pivetta (4-6, 3.87 ERA) |
| Rockies starting pitcher: | Cal Quantrill (6-7, 4.15 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Rockies latest injuries
Red Sox vs Rockies weather
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