The Milwaukee Brewers are off to a 3-0 start to their season but are an MLB odds underdog for their home opener against the favored Minnesota Twins.
The Brew Crew have listed righty Jakub Junis as their probable starter. He’s set to face Twins righty Louis Varland in a battle between two starters coming off good 2023 campaigns.
Can the Brewers upset the Twins and win their home opener? Join me as I preview this interleague clash with my free MLB picks for today’s Twins vs. Brewers matchup on Tuesday, April 2.
Twins vs Brewers odds
Twins vs Brewers predictions
While the weather outside is frightful, our combatants will square off in the indoor setting of American Family Field, and we should have a fun ballgame between the Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers.
American Family Field is a hitters' park. It yielded the third-most runs in baseball last season and the yard is a beautiful place to hit. It will be especially nice with the roof closed; our hitters will be out of the elements for the first time this season. We should see some offense as a result.
Brewers starter Jakub Junis is coming off the best strikeout rate of his career with the Giants. Still, he has a tough matchup to start his season against a collection of Twins that has previously owned him.
Twins starter Louie Varland had a nice rookie season for the Twinkies. He’s a big throwing kid, but he served up two bombs per nine frames last season and three home runs over 20 Spring Training innings.
Both offenses have potential, but they didn’t show any in their opening series; Minnesota scored nine runs in their opening three-game set while Milwaukee plated 14 runs against the Mets. Both were played outdoors in less-than-ideal conditions, so I expect both offenses to get after it early today.
We have bats hoping to break out against two home-run-prone pitchers with command issues. American Family Field is a hitters' park and our two starters will have trouble keeping these offenses down.
The Brewers don’t have much experience against Varland, but the Twins have raked the former Royals phenom for six bombs and 31 hits over 74 plate appearances. Look for that trend to continue today, with this game getting off to a fast start.
My best bet: First-five Over 4.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Twins vs Brewers same-game parlay
First-five Over 4.5
Carlos Correa to get a hit
Christian Yelich to get a hit
This three-leg SGP ticket is a doozy and correlates well with my belief our starters won’t get the job done today.
Twins shortstop Carlos Correa enjoys facing Junis. The Twins All-Star is off to a slow start but is 8-for-11 lifetime with a pair of bombs against the Brewers starter.
Milwaukee slugger Christian Yelich hasn’t faced Varland but is off to a great start to the season with a lifetime 136 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Twins vs Brewers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- Minnesota opened as a slight favorite but money poured in on Milwaukee, moving the line in the Brewers' favor by more than 30 cents at some shops.
- The total opened 8.5 runs, and while the number hasn’t moved, the juice has. You’ll pay anywhere from -110 to -115 on the Over while the Under is available from -105 to -110 across the market.
- The Twins have gone Over the total in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 units / 16% ROI).
Trend to know
The Over is 4-1 in the Brewers' last five interleague games vs. right-handed starters. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Brewers
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Twins vs Brewers game info
| Location: | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date: | Tuesday, April 2, 2024 |
| First pitch: | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Sports North, Bally Sports Wisconsin |
Starting pitchers
Louie Varland (0-0, 0.00 ERA): Varland is a hard-throwing righty coming off a decent 2023 for the Twinkies. He served up two bombs per nine frames but boasted a high strikeout rate (25%), low walk rate (6%), and 43% hard-hit rate across 68 innings on the bump.
Jakob Junis (0-0, 0.00 ERA): Junis starts for the Brew Crew this afternoon. The lanky free agent righty signed this offseason and is coming off the highest strikeout rate (26.2%) and lowest hard-hit rate (35.1%) of his career last season with the Giants.
