Dodgers vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s World Series Game 5

It's Game 5 of the World Series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees tonight at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx with elimination on the table. 

With ace Gerrit Cole on the mound, my Dodgers vs. Yankees predictions expect this series to end in L.A.

Read on for my MLB picks for Wednesday, October 30, and check out our Dodgers vs. Yankees prop picks and Dodgers vs. Yankees score prediction!

Dodgers vs Yankees prediction - Who will win World Series Game 5?

My best bet: Yankees moneyline
(-142 at FanDuel)

My analysis
Given the massive momentum shift seemingly out of thin air, this is one of my favorite spots in this series. Let's go back in time and revisit the pre-series narratives surrounding this matchup. 

One of the most prevailing was the New York Yankees had an advantage in most starting pitching matchups, and I'm not sure we've seen anything to tell us otherwise.

Gerrit Cole was brilliant in Game 1 — allowing one earned run through six innings — before being pulled somewhat immaturely. It's something Yankees greats like Derek Jeter disagreed with:

Gerrit Cole was dominating this game. He was dominating the game. And if you take him out after 88 pitches for, I don't know what reason, It's a domino effect on not only this game tonight, but tomorrow's game and the rest of this series.

I suspect Cole's leash will be as long as possible tonight. That's good for the Yankees for all the reasons I outlined at the start of this series. The matchup for Cole is strong, and he can once again dominate the Los Angeles Dodgers. There's a reason he has a 1.7 ERA against them in his last starts.

Let's also go back in time and revisit what has happened in these playoffs with L.A. starter Jack Flaherty. 

He posted seven shutout innings against the New York Mets in the NLCS, then faced them a second time five days later and was hit quite hard.

Flaherty allowed eight earned runs in just three innings. It was a direct comparison to what's happened to him a few times this season when facing a team for the second time in a short span (see the back-to-back San Diego Padres starts before that).

While he certainly didn't hold New York scoreless in his series-opening start, he did deliver a strong performance, allowing two earned runs in just over five innings.

Watching that game, more was on the table for New York there, too. It makes me think history can repeat itself here. It certainly doesn't help Flaherty has had a below-average barrel rate this season with his fastball-heavy approach, either. 

Give me the Yankees to send this back west.

Will Freddie Freeman hit a home run in Game 5?

No. I say that somewhat in jest, but it's not possible again... right? I noted yesterday the number for Freeman was attractive, but I was concerned about the opportunities he'd get.

Yesterday was the most impressive of all his long balls in this series because it came in an entirely different location. Today is one of the lowest odds we've seen all postseason for him to go deep at +500.

Looking for even more analysis on this topic? Check our Jason Wilson's Freddie Freeman home run props for Game 5.

Dodgers vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)

Yankees moneyline

Freeman to record a walk

+300 at bet365

Given what we've seen in this series, I couldn't believe this was priced where it was. 

You're giving me +135 on a guy the Yankees have to, by this point, be committed to not letting him beat them? Freddie is also backed up by Mookie Betts, against whom Cole has had much success. 

There's a good chance Freeman gets a free pass at some point this evening. It's the most logical thing to do, and it indeed happens at a higher rate than the implied 42%.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Dodgers vs Yankees odds

Dodgers vs Yankees live odds

Dodgers vs Yankees opening odds

• Moneyline: Los Angeles +110 | New York -130
• Run line: Los Angeles +1.5 (-188) | New York -1.5 (-155)
• Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Dodgers vs Yankees moneyline and Over/Under analysis

• The Over has hit in an even two of four meetings in this series and five of the last 10 overall.
• L.A. has obviously won three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these two teams, but before that, the teams had split the prior four matchups.
• The Over is now 8-2 in the Dodgers' last 10 games, making that trend quite profitable.
• The Yankees have managed to make bettors a slight profit over its last ten games with a 6-4 record.

Dodgers vs Yankees trend

The New York Yankees have hit the team total Over in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Yankees.

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 5 info

Dodgers vs Yankees latest injuries

Dodgers vs Yankees weather

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