Best Bucks vs Thunder Props for Tonight: Lillard Crashes the Boards

Andrew Caley breaks down his favorite Bucks vs. Thunder props ahead of tonight's NBA Cup Finals in Las Vegas including Damian Lillard and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Dec 17, 2024 • 13:45 ET • 4 min read
Damian Lillard Milwaukee Bucks NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The NBA Cup Final features two of the biggest names in the sport, figuratively and literally. That’s because the Milwaukee Bucks’ Giannis Antetokounmpo will face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

It seems appropriate that those names will be lit up by the bright lights of Las Vegas with the game being played at T-Mobile Arena. 

And with names this big you know we’ve got to have some Bucks vs Thunder props to go along with them.

Here are my NBA picks for the NBA Cup Final on Tuesday, Dec. 17.

Best Bucks vs Thunder props for tonight

Picks made on 12-17

Bucks vs Thunder player props for December 17

Prop bet #1: Damian Lillard Over 4.5 Rebounds

+115 at bet365

I love the Oklahoma City Thunder. I love Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. And I think a win in tonight’s NBA Cup Final could be a precursor to what we see from OKC in June.

That said, I will still happily fade them on the glass with opposing player rebounding props. The Thunder are great at a lot of things. It’s just rebounding isn’t one of them. Now, some of that is due to injuries but it doesn’t change the fact that OKC enters this matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks ranked 28th in the NBA when it comes to rebounding rate and dead last in opponent rebounds per game.

So, the question becomes, which Bucks player to back on the boards in this matchup? Giannis Antetokounmpo is still a monster on the boards averaging 11.5 rebounds per game this season but 12.5 is a big number, even for the Greek Freak.

Instead, I turn to one of the smaller Bucks, guard Damian Lillard. Lillard is known for his scoring and playmaking prowess but he’s also Milwaukee’s fourth-leading rebounder, averaging 4.5 per contest. 

His rebounding prop is set at 4.5 for this one with the Over getting decent plus money. It’s a number he’s gone over in six of his last 11 games and three of his last four overall. At this price, in this matchup, I’m happy to back him to do it again.

Prop bet #2: Lu Dort Over 2.5 Made Threes

+125 at bet365

As noted, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander are the biggest names in this NBA Cup Final (literally) but the winner of this great matchup will need some of its secondary players to step up.

So, let’s go from the longest name to the shortest, Lu Dort. The Oklahoma City Thunder 3-and-D specialist may not be scoring as much as in years past, but he is arguably having the best shooting season of his career and enters this big game dialed in from beyond the arc.

Dort is shooting a career-best 40.3% from 3-point range on 5.6 attempts per game for the Thunder this season and he is shooting the lights out right now. 

The 25-year-old has hit 12-of-23 (52.2%) attempts from deep over the last three games, including going 5-for-9 in OKC’s semifinal matchup against the Houston Rockets. So, shooting in T-Mobile Arena doesn’t seem to be a problem for Dort.

Now, he’ll face a Milwaukee Bucks team that is mediocre at defending the perimeter, ranking 14 in opponent 3-point attempts per game and 15th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage.

Dort’s threes made prop for this NBA Cup Final is sitting at 2.5 with the over at a tantalizing +125. He has topped this number in three consecutive games and four of his last seven overall. That price is good enough to back Dort to keep the hot hand tonight.


More NBA Cup Final picks from Covers


Prop bet #3: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Rebounds

-115 at bet365

You knew we had to have a prop for one of the big boys for the NBA Cup Final. For that, we turn to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

The Oklahoma City Thunder point guard is truly playing at an MVP level. SGA enters this matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks averaging 30.3 points, with 6.3 assists, 5.5 rebounds, and 1.9 steals per game. 

While it seems that Gilgeous-Alexander is already doing it all, the Thunder point guard is doing even more work cleaning the glass recently. SGA’s rebounds have bumped up to 6.4 over the last eight games which includes him hauling down eight boards in each of the Thunder’s last two games.

And OKC isn’t the only team in this matchup that has struggled on the boards this season. The Bucks rank 21st in rebounding rate and 22nd in opponent rebounds per game. 

SGA’s rebounding prop is on the board at a modest 5.5. That’s a number he has eclipsed in six of his last eight games and I like his chances to keep that going tonight in Las Vegas.

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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