Knicks vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Knicks have looked much-improved of late and our NBA picks like their chances of making a game out of tonight's matchup with the Nuggets.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka • Betting Analyst
Nov 25, 2024 • 16:16 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 2 hrs
DEN
65 %
NY
35 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
New York +4.0 (-110) New York +4.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Jalen Brunson New York Knicks NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The New York Knicks had their four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday night against the four-win Jazz and will look to get back on track as they travel to take on the Denver Nuggets, who've dropped three of their last five after a five-game winning streak of their own.

Read my Knicks vs. Nuggets predictions and NBA picks to find out why I'm taking the points with the visitors in this Monday, November 25 matchup. 

Knicks vs Nuggets prediction

My best bet
Knicks +4 (-110 at bet365)

My analysis
After stumbling out to a 5-6 start, the New York Knicks have begun to turn things around. Granted, three of the four wins they strung together during their recent win streak were against the Nets and the two-win Wizards, but there's more to their play than just beating up on non-playoff teams.

They ranked second in offensive rating and first in assist-to-turnover ratio during that stretch, demonstrating a level of offensive cohesiveness they had not shown up to that point.

They've also controlled the boards, posting the sixth-best rebounding rate in those five games. That will be particularly important against a Denver Nuggets team that ranks eighth on the year. They've also played a touch faster, playing to 20th in pace during that time vs. the second-to-last pace they'd sustained up to that point.

The Knicks are also a potent team from the perimeter, with their 39% being the third-best clip on the year. Denver ranks 19th in 3-point attempts allowed, potentially opening up that part of the matchup.

Knicks vs Nuggets same-game parlay

Knicks +4

Jalen Brunson Over 7.5 assists

Nikola Jokic Under 12.5 rebounds

One area where Denver has struggled this year is disrupting passing lanes for opposing ball handlers. Its 9.9 assists allowed per game to opposing point guards is the fourth-worst mark on the year, which could mean a busy night for Jalen Brunson.

Another area where New York has a clear advantage is on the glass, as they allow a league-low 11.6 rebounds per game to opposing centers. While Jokic has stuffed the stat sheet as of late, he's gone Over tonight's mark of 12.5 just once in his last nine games against the Knicks.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Knicks vs Nuggets odds

Knicks vs Nuggets live odds

Knicks vs Nuggets opening odds

  • Spread: New York +3 | Denver -3
  • Moneyline: New York +135 | Denver -160
  • Over/Under: Over 233 | Under 233

Odds courtesy of bet365.

Knicks vs Nuggets spread and Over/Under analysis

  • New York is a near-even 7-8-1 against the spread this year and failed to cover in its lone game as a road underdog.

  • The Nuggets have gone a slightly worse 6-8-1 and have gone 3-4-1 at home.|

  • The Knicks are 9-7 to the Over this year but have gone 6-3 on the road, good for the fourth-best Over rate in that split.

  • Denver is 10-5 to the Over, good for the fourth-highest O/U rate on the season.

  • Both teams have seen just three totals at or above tonight's total of 231.5 and have each gone 2-1 O/U in those games.

Knicks vs Nuggets trend

The Nuggets have only cashed the first-half moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games (-33.60 units / -17% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Nuggets.

How to watch Knicks vs Nuggets

Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date: Monday, 11-25-2024
Tip-off: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: MGS, Altitude

Knicks vs Nuggets latest injuries

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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