Villanova vs Maryland Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Today's College Basketball Game

That defense fuels the Maryland offense. The Terrapins average 24.5 points per game from turnovers, which fuels their 86 points per game. They are pesky, force deflections, and turn steals into buckets.

The result is five consecutive games with 74+ points, thanks to a defense that gets swipes while surrendering a meager 53 points per game.

The Villanova Wildcats beat the lower-ranked schools on KenPom’s rankings but are 0-3 against anyone with a pulse. They allowed 90 points to Columbia because their 3-point defense is No. 313 at KenPom, and their interior defense isn’t much better.

Maryland may not score 86 points on a neutral court, but 72 points is a reasonable target. Villanova commits 13 turnovers per game, which the Terrapins will turn into layups. They're too good a scoring team from inside the arc and shoot 72% from the charity stripe. 

Villanova’s defense is still a work in progress. They’ve allowed 72+ points twice this season, and Maryland is by far the best offense its seen. Maryland should climb over this team total.

I like Maryland to exceed its team total, which should send this game Over the game total, with the Terrapins covering the alternate number.

The Wildcats can knock down the triple, and they average 13 dimes per game. Both groups are good offensive rebounders, leading to enough second-chance opportunities for both sides.

That should help this game end Over the number and for Maryland to cover a smaller number. Today’s tilt could come down to free throws, and I’ll roll with a veteran Maryland side.

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