The Connecticut Huskies are looking to become bowl eligible when they host the 2-5 Georgia State Panther,s who are looking for another big upset on Friday night.
Find out why my Georgia State vs. UConn predictions see the Huskies encountering few obstacles on their way to bowl eligibility as I serve up my best college football picks for Week 10 on Friday, November 1.
Georgia State vs UConn prediction and best bet
My best bet
UConn -7.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
It seems like ages ago for Georgia State Panthers fans that they upset the Vanderbilt Commodores on the road, 36-32. Since that game, Georgia State has lost four consecutive clashes — all of which were conference games in the Sun Belt. Now they get a big step up in competition with the UConn Huskies on the road.
It is going to be difficult for the Panthers to score points against a Huskies defense that ranks 31st in both scoring and total yards allowed. They also rank second in the entire country in opponent third-down percentage, allowing them to convert only 25.4%. The Huskies have also allowed opponents to convert only three of nine fourth downs.
Meanwhile, the Panthers rank 101st in third-down conversion percentage at 36.7% and have only converted two of their 12 fourth downs. If the Panthers offense can’t stay on the field, that will also be a huge problem for their defense, which ranks 108th in scoring and 114th in total yards allowed. UConn averages 31.5 points per game.
The Huskies have a solid rushing offense, averaging 192.9 yards per game while the Panthers allow 192.7 yards per game on the ground. This could lead to a massive time of possession advantage for UConn, and will be the death blow for Georgia State late in the game if it still happens to be close. The Huskies run three different backs, and they will still be fresh late in the game with their split carries.
Even if Georgia State manages to win the turnover battle, which is their one big advantage in this game, UConn is excellent at forcing field goals in the red zone as opponents only have nine touchdowns in 25 redzone attempts. Everything here is leaning towards a big Huskies win on Friday night.
Georgia State vs UConn same-game parlay (SGP)
UConn -7.5
TJ Sheffield Over 39.5 receiving yards
Durell Robinson anytime TD
To add to the spread with my same game parlay, I will take the most consistent receiver on UConn to surpass 40 receiving yards.
TJ Sheffield has nearly 200 yards less than Skyler Bell on the season but gets more targets and catches in shorter passes. He has surpassed 40 yards in each of the last three games and had 36 in the game before that stretch.
The final leg of this same-game parlay will be my favorite touchdown scorer for the Huskies, and that is running back Durell Robinson.
Even though he is the third back in the depth chart in terms of carries, he leads the team in both yards and touchdowns. The Panthers have allowed 2.3 rushing touchdowns per game on the season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Georgia State vs UConn odds
Georgia State vs UConn live odds
Georgia State vs UConn opening odds
- Georgia State vs. UConn spread: UConn -7
- Georgia State vs. UConn moneyline: Georgia State +240, UConn -300
- Georgia State vs. UConn Over/Under: 48.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Georgia State vs UConn spread and Over/Under analysis
- The spread opened as low as 5.5 but quickly climbed as high as 8.5 before landing on 7.5 as of Thursday afternoon.
- UConn has covered five of their seven games this season while Georgia State has covered two of their seven games.
- The total opened at 49.5 and has fallen to 48.5 as of Thursday.
- Each of the last three games played by UConn have gone Under the total.
Georgia State vs UConn betting trend to know
Georgia State has only covered the spread in four of its last 12 games. Find more college football betting trends for Georgia State vs UConn.
Georgia State vs UConn game info
| Location: | Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT |
| Date: | Friday, 11-1-2024 |
| Kickoff: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | CBSSN |
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