49ers vs Rams Picks & Predictions for Week 3: Mason Continues Breakout at SoFi

Jordan Mason has emerged as one of the biggest surprises early in the NFL season, and Christian McCaffrey's replacement should keep shining against a weak Los Angeles defense.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Sep 21, 2024 • 15:58 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 21 hrs
LA
46 %
SF
54 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jordan Mason longest rush o17.5 yards (-125) Jordan Mason longest rush o17.5 yards (-125)
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Jordan Mason San Francisco 49ers NFL
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The Los Angeles Rams are still looking for their first win of the season as they host the San Francisco 49ers at SoFi Stadium in Week 3. 

Although Christian McCaffrey remains out for the defending NFC champs, my 49ers vs. Rams predictions are bullish on Jordan Mason to keep excelling as San Francisco's lead running back. 

Find out more in my NFL picks for Sunday, September 22.

49ers vs Rams prediction

My best bet
Jordan Mason longest rush Over 17.5 yards (-125 at BetMGM)

My analysis

The San Francisco 49ers are hurting pretty bad right now on offense. Christian McCaffery is on injured reserve, Deebo Samuel is out with a calf injury, and George Kittle is doubtful for Sunday’s game.

Luckily, running back Jordan Mason has stepped up so far this season.

Mason has rushed for 247 yards through two weeks, with only the Chargers’ J.K. Dobbins (266 yards) ahead of him. The third-year back has reached the 100-yard mark in each of the first two games this season, on 28 and 20 carries respectively.

The 49ers should be giving Mason the ball at least 20 or 25 times against the Los Angeles Rams. Not only is San Francisco missing a few key offensive options, but a 6.5-point spread is a great game script for running the ball.

Mason has been able to break a run of at least 20 yards in each of his first two games, and the Rams have been fairly weak defensively against the run this season. Detroit RB David Montgomery broke out a carry for 21 yards in Week 1 went for 21 yards, and three different Arizona backs (James Conner, Kyler Murray, and Emari Demercado) all had rushes of 22+ yards last week.

Look for Mason to get a heavy workload against the Rams, and that should mean at least one big scamper. 

49ers vs Rams same-game parlay

Jordan Mason Over 94.5 rushing yards

Jordan Mason anytime touchdown

49ers -6.5

Mason has hit the 100-yard mark in both games thus far and should do so again against the Rams in Week 3. Montgomery reached 91 yards on 17 carries in Week 1 against Los Angeles, while Conner racked up 122 yards on 21 attempts last week.

The running back has also scored in each of the first two games, and the Rams have allowed a rushing touchdown in each of their first two games. Look for Mason and the 49ers to breeze past L.A. at SoFi. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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49ers vs Rams odds

49ers vs Rams live odds

49ers vs Rams opening odds

  • Spread: San Francisco -6.5 | Los Angeles +6.5
  • Moneyline: San Francisco -350 | Los Angeles +260
  • Over/Under: Over 47.5 | Under 47.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

49ers vs Rams spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The 49ers opened as 6.5-point favorites last Sunday and got bet up to -8 briefly on Monday evening. They’ve since come back down to the opening line as of Saturday afternoon.
  • The Rams have been mostly bet against in the market but they’ve received 44% of the money as opposed to just 25% of the tickets.
  • The total has come down from 47.5 to 43.5, which isn’t too surprising given the offensive injuries on both sides.

49ers vs Rams betting trend to know

San Francisco has hit the 1H game total Over in 15 of its last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for 49ers vs. Rams.

49ers vs Rams game info

Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Date: Sunday, 9-22, 2024
Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

49ers vs Rams latest injuries

49ers vs Rams weather

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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