Buccaneers vs Chiefs Props and Picks for Monday Night Football

Bucky Irving has seen his role continue to increase in recent weeks, and he should have plenty of chances to produce against the Chiefs on Monday.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Nov 4, 2024 • 11:01 ET • 4 min read
Bucky Irving Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL
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The Kansas City Chiefs are the NFL’s lone remaining unbeaten team, and they have a great chance of staying that way as big home favorites in the Monday Night Football odds against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

My NFL player props and Buccaneers vs. Chiefs predictions expect a few Bucs to produce and a Chiefs veteran to find the end zone. Read on for my NFL picks below.

Buccaneers vs Chiefs MNF props

Read full analysis of each pick.

Buccaneers vs Chiefs MNF props

Prop bet #1: Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

+146 at FanDuel

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield has put up strong numbers so far this season despite a 4-4 record. He's thrown for 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions through eight weeks.

The injury to Mike Evans may hurt Mayfield’s output, but the Bucs still have running back Rachaad White and tight end Cade Otton, both of which have caught multiple touchdown passes this season.

Mayfield has thrown for multiple TDs in each of his last five games and six of eight contests this season. In fact, he’s had 3+ TD passes in each of the last four games.

The Chiefs have yet to allow three passing TDs in a game, but they’ve allowed two to Gardner Minshew and Derek Carr in recent weeks, as well as Joe Burrow in Week 2. While the Chiefs could run away with this, this +146 price is worth a play.

Prop bet #2: Bucky Irving Over 52.5 rushing + receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Bucs running back Bucky Irving has been mighty impressive here in his rookie season. The fourth-round pick out of Oregon leads Tampa Bay with 395 rushing yards and has 164 receiving yards to boot.

Despite being questionable with a toe injury, Irving should be able to get Over this 52.5 total yards mark. He’s done so in six straight games and seven of eight contests this season. That’s quite the accomplishment for the rookie.

While the Chiefs have a stout defense, they’ve seen a few running backs pass this mark this season. Justice Hill, J.K. Dobbins, Alvin Kamara, and Jordan Mason all reached this number this season.

We’re getting a bit of a lower line due to the situation and injury, but that should be taken advantage of.

Prop bet #3: Travis Kelce anytime touchdown

+115 at FanDuel

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has slowly but surely ramped up his workload this season. After receiving a total of just 12 targets in the first three weeks, he matched that total with 10 catches on 12 targets and his first touchdown of the season last week against the Raiders.

Kelce has a great matchup this week against a lackluster Buccaneers defense. Tampa Bay allowed nine passing touchdowns over the past two weeks including a pair to both Mark Andrews and Kyle Pitts. 

Mahomes should be looking to exploit that this week, with Kelce looking like his old self once again.

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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