Commanders vs Giants Predictions and Picks for Week 9: New York's Offense Struggles in NFC East Clash

Daniel Jones and the Giants' offense have been anything but pretty to watch this year, and we don’t expect the G-Men to gain any traction against the stingy Commanders.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Nov 1, 2024 • 15:45 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 43 hrs
NYG
28 %
WAS
72 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
Giants team total u20.5 (-125)
Read Analysis
Daniel Jones New York Giants NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images

The Washington Commanders are looking to build off last week’s Hail Mary victory as they head up to the Meadowlands to take on the New York Giants.

The Commanders have won six of seven games since their season-opening loss, while the Giants have dropped three straight to fall to 2-6. 

Find out why my Commanders vs. Giants picks expect the New York offense to continue to struggle in my best NFL picks for Week 9 on Sunday, November 3.

Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, with the game airing on FOX.

Commanders vs Giants prediction

My best bet
New York Giants team total Under 20.5 (-125 at BetMGM)

My analysis

The New York Giants are not a good football team right now. They sit at 2-6 and are sputtering on offense, averaging just 14.6 points per game. 

One of the Giants’ main issues is their inability to find the end zone. Even when the G-Men put up 18 points last week against Pittsburgh, they scored just one touchdown, with field goals accounting for 12 of those 18 points. Things won’t get easier in Week 9 against the NFC East-leading Washington Commanders.

Washington has been extremely stout on defense this season, surrounding 20+ only three times this season and just once in its last five games. Since allowing 30 points in Baltimore three weeks ago, the Commanders coughed up just 22 points combined to the Panthers and Bears.

The Commanders already held the Giants to 18 points in Week 2, and now New York is even more beat up and disconnected. Fade the G-Men offense on Sunday.

Commanders vs Giants same-game parlay

Commanders -4

Under 44.5

Jayden Daniels anytime touchdown

Although the Commanders' offense is dynamic, reaching 30 points might be tough. If they hold the Giants to 17 points or fewer — say, with a final score of 27-17 — they'll cover the spread while staying under the 44.5-point total.

The Giants allowed two rushing touchdowns to Jalen Hurts two weeks ago and one to Joe Burrow the week prior. Jayden Daniels ran for 44 yards on 10 carries in Week 2 against the Giants and should find the end zone this time around.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Commanders vs Giants odds

Commanders vs Giants live odds

Commanders vs Giants opening odds

  • Spread: Washington -3 | New York +3
  • Moneyline: Washington -185 | New York +150
  • Over/Under: Over 44.5 | Under 44.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Commanders vs Giants spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Commanders opened as 3-point favorites but were quickly bet up to -4 by midweek.
  • The total moved down to as low as 43 after opening at 44.5, but it’s back up to 45 as of Friday afternoon.

Commanders vs Giants betting trend to know

New York has only hit the game total Over in seven of its last 20 games (-7.35 Units / -33% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Commanders vs. Giants.

Commanders vs Giants game info

Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Date: Sunday, 11-3, 2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Commanders vs Giants latest injuries

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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