Seahawks vs Lions Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for MNF: Detroit's Offense Poses New Challenge for Seattle

Despite a 3-0 record, Seattle has yet to face a formidable offense. Find out why Jared Goff & Co. are due to humble the Seahawks in Monday's primetime showdown at Ford Field.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 30, 2024 • 17:06 ET • 4 min read
Information icon

This article contains predictions for an old game!

Latest NFL Picks
Jared Goff Detroit Lions NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions host the Seattle Seahawks tonight at Ford Field.

Seattle has gone a perfect 3-0 to begin the year but my Seahawks vs. Lions predictions expect that unbeaten streak to end in Week 4. Here are my best free NFL picks for Monday Night Football on September 30. 

Seahawks vs Lions MNF prediction

My best bet
Lions -3.5 (-115 at FanDuel)

My analysis

When it comes right down to it, the Seattle Seahawks aren't as good as their 3-0 record would suggest. Likewise, the Detroit Lions aren't as bad as they've looked at times this year, and they're still 2-1. 

The Seahawks certainly aren't as dominant on defense as the stats indicate. They've benefitted from playing against a trio of terrible quarterbacks, taking advantage of Bo Nix in his pro debut, Jacoby Brissett, and Skylar Thompson. Two of those three games came at home and the one away contest took place in New England where the Pats ran all over them. 

Now they travel to Detroit, to face a Lions squad that leads the NFL in rush success rate. Jared Goff and the Lions aerial attack have looked a bit out of sync to start this season — but with multiple weapons, a strong offensive line, and an excellent play-caller, they'll find their rhythm soon.

On the other side of the ball, the Seahawks have struggled to run the ball (24th in rush EPA) and have relied on their aerial attack (13th in dropback EPA). However, they rank just 29th in the league in pass blocking per PFF while the Lions are third in the NFL in pass rush grade (81.3).

The Lions' defense should be able to do enough to disrupt Geno Smith for their offense to pull away.  

Seahawks vs Lions MNF same-game parlay

Lions -3.5

Over 46.5

Geno Smith 250+ passing yards

Running back Kenneth Walker III isn't at full strength and the Seahawks won't want to pound the ball into a Lions D that ranks third in the league in rush EPA. Expect Seattle to rely on its aerial attack and Geno Smith to target his talented wideouts against a vulnerable Detroit secondary.

Despite a positive game script last week, Smith threw for 289 yards and he racked up a whopping 44 pass attempts for 327 yards in Week 2 against the Pats. He also completed 32-of-41 passes for 328 yards when Seattle upset Detroit at Ford Field last year.

These teams combined for 68 points in that previous meeting and have almost identical lineups this time around. This total looks too low when you consider that Seattle's defense will regress now that it's facing a competent QB — especially with multiple injuries in the front seven. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

New Users
Get $200 in bonus bets and a free trial of NFL Sunday Ticket with FanDuel!

Bet $5 on the NFL and get $200 in bonus bets — PLUS a free three-week trial of the NFL Sunday Ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV!

Sign up now at FanDuel Sportsbook, or learn more with our comprehensive FanDuel review.

Seahawks vs Lions odds

Seahawks vs Lions live odds

Seahawks vs Lions opening odds

  • Spread: Seattle +4.5 | Detroit -4.5
  • Moneyline: Seattle +180 | Detroit -220
  • Over/Under: Over 47 | Under 47

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Seahawks vs Lions spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Early money came in on the Seahawks, slimming their line from +4.5 to +3.5. 
  • The lookahead total was at 48.5, but after the Lions played in another low-scoring game in Week 3, the O/U reopened at 47 before ticking down to 46.5.
  • Although the Seahawks are 3-0 SU, their latest 24-3 win against the Dolphins marked the first time this year that they covered the spread.
  • The Lions beat the Cardinals 20-13 last week to improve to 2-1 SU and ATS, while the Under has cashed in all three of their games.

Seahawks vs Lions betting trend to know

Detroit is 19-7 ATS (73.1%) at home since 2021. Find more NFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Lions.

Seahawks vs Lions game info

Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Date: Monday, 9-30, 2024
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: ABC

Seahawks vs Lions latest injuries

Seahawks vs Lions weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo