Sunday’s game is nearly upon us and we’re taking a look at Super Bowl 56 player prop odds. One prop, in particular, we've got our eyes on is Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon’s rushing yards line, which currently sits at 62.5.
He's the leading rusher for the Super Bowl odds underdog Bengals, but this is no easy task.
The battle between Mixon and the Rams' famous defense is going to be one of the most intriguing battles in Super Bowl 56.
Super Bowl 56 rushing yards odds
The odds below represent the best odds available for each player's touchdown market from regulated US sportsbooks.
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Joe Mixon rushing yards pick
- Mixon Under 62.5 rushing yards (-115)
Pick made on February 10, 2022.
Former Oklahoma running back Joe Mixon is one of the biggest names in the Bengals offense and one of the biggest talking points as we get ever closer to Super Bowl 56. Since being drafted in the second round in 2017, he’s rushed for over 4,500 yards and 33 touchdowns. This season, he hit paydirt 13 times, although he's only found the end zone once in the playoffs and twice in his past seven games overall.
Mixon’s rushing yard total for Sunday’s game against the Rams sits at 62.5 and I’m backing the Under for a number of reasons. Firstly, recent form. Mixon hasn’t exploded on the ground since November 28 when he erupted for 165 yards on the ground against the Steelers. Since that game, he’s played eight times and only gone over 62.5 rushing yards on two occasions.
We also need to take into account that he’s going up against the Rams defense. They’re well known for their relentless pass rush with Aaron Donald, Von Miller, and Leonard Floyd all putting fear into any and every opposing quarterback, but their rush defense doesn’t get the acclaim that it should. They’re ranked fifth in rushing defense DVOA and they have allowed the fewest average rushing yards of any team that reached the postseason. It’s something that they’ve continued on from the regular season in which they had the sixth least yards given up on the ground, with only one team giving up less 20+ yard runs.
Finally, we need to take into account the game script. The bookies — those folks who usually know best — have the Rams as favorites. In theory that should mean more of Joe Burrow passing and less Mixon on the ground, even in a tight game, and almost certainly if the Rams take a huge lead early. Sunday looks set to be a tough day in the office for Mixon and the smart money has to be taking the Under on the 25-year old’s rushing yards prop.
