NHL Player Props and Best Bets Today for 11-12: Follow Suter

Tonight's NHL player props feature Pius Suter to tally a point, the Rangers offense to come up short, and Pavel Zacha to benefit while skating alongside David Pastrnak.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2024 • 09:13 ET • 4 min read
Pius Suter Vancouver Canucks NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

It's a seven-game slate on the ice tonight and finding great NHL player props is not hard to do with these matchups.

There are some line juggles in Vancouver that haven't been priced in yet, the New York Rangers are paying a wild amount of money to get stymied by the Winnipeg Jets, and the Boston Bruins offense is bound to turn things around and tonight might be a breakout night. 

These are my three favorite NHL picks and prop bets for Tuesday, November 12. 

NHL prop picks and best bets for November 12

Picks made on 11-12 at 8:20 a.m. ET.

Today’s NHL prop picks and best bets

Prop bet #1: Pius Suter Over 0.5 points 

+128 at bet365

With Brock Boeser out indefinitely, Pius Suter has jumped up to the Vancouver Canucks' top line and PP1 and gets to face the Calgary Flames, who are on the second game of a back-to-back after a 3-1 win last night over the Kings. 

In Suter's first game up with the expanded role, he finished with a power-play goal and four shots on net with 18:29 of ice time. He was averaging around 14 minutes per game in his previous bottom-six role. This price is all over the place as some books are as short as +104, so getting on this early is advised as it will shorten up throughout the day.

If you're looking for a Suter stack, add JT Miller, who is his center and also plays on PP1. The pair to each record a point is a very heavy +222. Vancouver is a big -200 ML favorite so the top line should see a lot of offensive opportunities tonight. 

Prop bet #2: Rangers team total Under 2.5 goals 

+140 at DraftKings

This is a wild price for any team playing the Winnipeg Jets and Connor Hellebuyck. I was originally trying to find the best Under point prop on the New York Rangers but was wildly surprised to see this at anything Over +115.

The Jets have the best GAA in hockey at 2.07, which is 0.24 goals better than the next-best team (Rangers). They also have an above-average penalty kill and have given up just nine goals over their last six games, including two shutout wins.

The Rangers have not scored more than two regulation goals in four straight meetings and Hellebuyck will be at the top of his game as he opposes the only other truly elite goalie in hockey, Igor Shesterkin, as the pair make up the top-two betting favorites for the Vezina. 

This game could have three total goals and if Winnipeg gets up early, it will suffocate 5-on-5 play. If you love goaltending and low-scoring, this is the game of the season so far.  

Prop bet #3: Pavel Zacha Over 0.5 points

-105 at DraftKings

The Boston Bruins offense has finally gotten going as Jim Montgomery has settled on his top lines and that features Pavel Zacha centering David Pastrnak with the pair also on PP1. It might not be five goals a games of offense, but their recent six goals over two games is the biggest two-game total over their last eight.

There should be some positive regression coming from the Bruins as their offensive metrics show a team that should be scoring more than a half-goal per game higher than their current rate of 2.5. There has been some bad puck luck with this group's scoring but the turn is coming.

Zacha has three points over his last two games — all coming at 5-on-5. Playing with Pastrnak is the best place to be for a Boston skater and the matchup vs. the St. Louis Blues is advantageous, too.

The Blues' 3.47 GAA on the season is the sixth-worst mark in hockey and their penalty kill ranks in the bottom 10 in the league. St. Louis enters tonight having lost five of their last seven games and have given up whopping 27 goals in those five defeats. They're also fresh off an 8-1 loss to the Caps.

Considering the matchup, the likely regression, and his role on this offense, -105 is a great price to back Zacha for a point tonight.  

NHL odds today

Here are the full NHL odds for all of today’s matchups.

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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2018, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds. His preferred sportsbook is bet365, which he favors for its extensive range of player prop markets and live betting options.

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