Minnesota @ Chicago Picks & Props

Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game. Christian Vazquez has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) suggests that Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .227 actual batting average. Christian Vazquez is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Extreme flyball hitters like Eloy Jimenez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Eloy Jimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Since the start of last season, Byron Buxton's 14.4% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Carlos Correa will have an advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) suggests that Carlos Correa has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .235 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Ryan Jeffers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Ryan Jeffers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Manuel Margot is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Manuel Margot will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Manuel Margot has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .289 actual wOBA.

Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul DeJong's 16.9° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 84th percentile.

Jose Miranda's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Miranda is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jose Miranda will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Jose Miranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an edge today. When it comes to his batting average, Kyle Farmer has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .237 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. Kyle Farmer has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.4° angle is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (92nd percentile).

Danny Mendick has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Mendick's speed has gotten better this season. His 25.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.12 ft/sec now.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Garrett Crochet in this game. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Willi Castro has notched a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. Andrew Benintendi has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage in today's game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Garrett Crochet today. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Carlos Santana has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Andrew Vaughn has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's quickness has improved this year. His 25.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.4 ft/sec now.

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Nicky Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and moreover, Ryan has a large platoon split. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Nicky Lopez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Nicky Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Martin Maldonado has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Austin Martin has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.