All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 22, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+110 
|
o6.5 -134 
|
+1.5 -205 
|
|
4.44 |
-115 
|
u7.5 -145
|
-1.5 +176
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rasmussens last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 during game 1 of a series.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in Rodons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
+105
|
o7.5 +105 
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.35 |
-120
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +180
|
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Bassitts last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+288
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+136
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -159
|
|
4.29 |
-155
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140 
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Detroit
- Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 home games.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
u0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+120
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.22 |
-135
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Wheelers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Wheelers last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
o0.5+224
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+145 
|
o7.0 -119
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.13 |
-150
|
u7.5 -124
|
-1.5 +150
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 6-0 in Pallantes last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.60 |
+110
|
o6.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.82 |
-125
|
u7.0 -132
|
-1.5 +176
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+222
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.19 |
+115
|
o6.0 -137
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
|
3.67 |
-130
|
u6.5 -108
|
-1.5 +180
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 road starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in Rasmussens last 4 starts on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Top Projection
Heliot Ramos u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
u0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+162
|
o9.0 -116
|
+1.5 -131
|
|
5.25 |
-184
|
u9.5 -124
|
-1.5 +116
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Williamsons last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Williamsons last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
-117
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +149
|
|
4.31 |
+104
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -164
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in Kays last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Kays last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Lynch IVs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Royals are 4-0 in Lynch IVs last 4 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+261)
o0.5+261
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.12 |
+181
|
o6.5 -118
|
+2.5 -220
|
|
3.72 |
-210
|
u7.0 -139
|
-2.5 +175
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Junks last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games following a win.
Top Projection
Janson Junk o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+136)
o2.5-180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
+110
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.39 |
-125
|
u8.5 -128
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Manaeas last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Texas
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5+221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.10 |
-190
|
o10.5 -125
|
-1.5 -122
|
|
4.89 |
+166
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 +105
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Sorokas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sorokas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Kyle Freeland o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125)
o2.5-120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+125
|
o7.0 -134
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.41 |
-137
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +158
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-2 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Javiers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Javiers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Seattle
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
-107
|
o9.5 +101
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
5.12 |
-108
|
u9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -175
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Kikuchis last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kikuchis last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in Bassos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 10-1 in last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-130
|
o7.5 -104
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.34 |
+115
|
u7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -152
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Bradleys last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Bradleys last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Bradleys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Marcelo Mayer u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
+106
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.91 |
-121
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +172
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Detroit
- Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 home games.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-2 in Twins last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.09 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.09 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.96 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Nolas last 7 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Liberatores last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Cardinals are 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Coles last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Reds last 7 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 road games.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Sales last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 7-0 in Feddes last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Rice owns a .508 xSLG and 14.0% barrel rate, giving him one of the strongest power profiles remaining in New York's lineup. Martinez's contact suppression makes this a difficult matchup overall, but his complete lack of strikeout stuff gives Rice an advantage. Rice also hits Martinez's most serviceable pitches so well.
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+361)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Rice owns a .508 xSLG and 14.0% barrel rate, giving him one of the strongest power profiles remaining in New York's lineup. Martinez's contact suppression makes this a difficult matchup overall, but his complete lack of strikeout stuff gives Rice an advantage. Especially since Rice hits Martinez's most serviceable pitches so well.
TOR
@
BAL
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:35 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (+100)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
I'd price this closer to -110, so we're going to take advantage of this value. The Blue Jays see a familiar face on the bump in Chris Bassitt tonight, and while he's been fine over his last two starts, his 4.96 xERA suggests Toronto should be able to get to him. I'm expecting the Blue Jays to manufacture runs, with Bassitt posting a career-high xBA (.279) and career-low K rate (16.4%) this season. On the other side is Max Scherzer, who Baltimore just tagged for six earned runs 11 days ago. No matter how you slice it, tonight looks like we'll see some offensive fireworks.
Total RBIs
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Samuel Basallo ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Samuel Basallo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (85%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Samuel Basallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.
WAS
@
DET
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Dylan Crews has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.1% to 19.4%.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Anderson throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
MIL
@
PHI
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. William Contreras has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.1-mph over the past 14 days.
STL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the past week, Jordan Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 33.3%.. Jordan Walker has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.7-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Thomas Saggese o0.5 Total RBIs (+309)
Projection 0.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. PNC Park projects as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Thomas Saggese has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Thomas Saggese has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph mark.. Thomas Saggese's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 19% on the season to 23.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
CLE
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 22 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+675)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Wilyer Abreu's ISO sits at .190 facing southpaws but spikes to .267 when isolating the fastball-sinker combination that Parker Messick relies on so heavily.
His strikeout rate sits at just 13.2% against those two pitches, which is below his barrel rate of 14.5%. It’s always a good sign when you’re making elite contact more frequently than punching out.
Moneyline
BOS (-123)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m on the Boston Red Sox up to 55%.
Payton Tolle ranks first among all of today’s projected starters in xFIP and SIERA over the past 30 days.
Isolating Parker Messick’s three most-used pitches, three of Boston’s projected Top-4 batters own xwOBAs of .390 or higher against southpaws.
The pitching should be great for both teams but I have more trust in the top of Boston’s order to produce.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. Over the past week, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. Jonathan Aranda's launch angle recently (24° in the past week) is a considerable increase over his 14.3° seasonal mark.. Based on Statcast data, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .369.
CIN
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the league's 17th-best home run hitter.. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle in recent games (29.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 20.2° seasonal angle.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.
CHW
@
KC
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Anthony Kay o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 4.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Projected catcher Jake Rogers projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 7th-best of the day for mound aces.. Anthony Kay's 95.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 82nd percentile among all starters.. Anthony Kay's high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (60.3% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.. Considering the 0.53 deviation between Anthony Kay's 7.31 K/9 and his 7.84 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see positive regression in the future.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 field in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 75%.. Because of Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Salvador Perez will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
MIA
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Seiya Suzuki u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Janson Junk will have the handedness advantage over Seiya Suzuki today.. Over the last week, Seiya Suzuki's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dansby Swanson is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Janson Junk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today's game.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16.8% to 13.7%.
NYM
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 22 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Josh Jung o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Josh Jung's recent batted-ball profile is extremely appealing, highlighted by a 64.7% hard-hit rate and 23.5% barrel rate over his last six games. He's also elevating nearly half his contact, while Manaea has surrendered 1.63 HR/9 on the road. Jung has legitimate long-ball upside tonight.
Total
o7.5 (-123)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 56%. There are several paths to offense in this matchup. Gore has been vulnerable recently, Manaea isn't untouchable, and neither bullpen profiles as dominant. With New York producing well at the plate and the total sitting at only 7.5, it shouldn't take a true slugfest to get this Over.
AZ
@
COL
Tue, Sep 22 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game.. Mickey Moniak is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Soroka o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 5.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael Soroka in the 76th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. The Colorado Rockies have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mickey Moniak, Hunter Goodman, Connor Norby, Zac Veen).. In his previous GS, Michael Soroka turned in a great performance and posted 10 strikeouts.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Michael Soroka has relied on his non-fastballs 12.2% more often this year (57.2%) than he did last season (45%).. Michael Soroka's 2526-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 95th percentile among all starters.
HOU
@
SEA
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the same side that Cristian Javier throws from, Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Randy Arozarena's launch angle this season (9.8°) is quite a bit worse than his 13.4° mark last year.. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 17.1% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.. Randy Arozarena has been lucky this year, putting up a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .023 deviation.
LAA
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Yusei Kikuchi o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 5.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Athletics have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Henry Bolte, Zack Gelof, Lawrence Butler, Denzel Clarke, Max Muncy).
Total Bases
Oswald Peraza o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 ballpark in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.. Hitting from the opposite that Brady Basso throws from, Oswald Peraza will have an edge today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
MIN
@
SF
Tue, Sep 22 • 9:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
JC
Jonah Cox o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
Projection 0.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Jonah Cox is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jonah Cox is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the highest humidity on the slate today at 92%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Jonah Cox has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Walker Jenkins o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Walker Jenkins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Oracle Park.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the highest humidity on the slate today at 92%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Anthony Molina throws from, Walker Jenkins will have an edge in today's game.
SD
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 22 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+373)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been scoring hot at the dish, leaving the yard five times in his last nine games. Dodger Stadium's 124 Park Factor for home runs means that there's an increased chance of Tatis continuing his fine form by popping a long ball.
Play to 55%. Michael King has induced a 17% soft contact rate in his last eight starts and ranks in the 85th percentile in average exit velocity and the 88th percentile in hard-hit rate. L.A.'s bullpen has a 3.18 FIP and league-best 2.76 SIERA in relief across the last 14 days, and San Diego will have Mason Miller and all its best arms rested after Monday's off day.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
MLB
09/22/2026
10:08 ET
Mets vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game
MLB
09/22/2026
09:52 ET
Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Game 1 of Today's Doubleheader
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
MLB
09/22/2026
10:08 ET
Mets vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game
MLB
09/22/2026
09:52 ET
Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Game 1 of Today's Doubleheader
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
