MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 21, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Jul 21 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Gabriel Arias logo
Gabriel Arias o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Progressive Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jul 21 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Kyle Tucker will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jul 21 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 88%.. Batting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions of the day at 88%.. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jul 21 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+239)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today.. Extreme groundball bats like Daulton Varsho tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.
Total RBIs
Taylor Walls logo
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total RBIs (+417)
Projection 0.32
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. In the majors, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of the day (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (20°) is considerably better than his 14.9° figure last season.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Jul 21 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.1°, Gunnar Henderson has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 39° figure in the past week.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jul 21 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jul 21 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+192)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, the hardest ball Luis Robert Jr. has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.8 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Jul 21 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Lane Thomas is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #10 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Jul 21 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the game's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage over Kumar Rocker today... and moreover, Rocker has a large platoon split.. Checking in at the 96th percentile, Munetaka Murakami has notched a .379 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the league's 16th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split.. Colson Montgomery's launch angle this season (23.1°) is quite a bit better than his 18° figure last season.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jul 21 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but it's the Cubs whom I trust more in this spot. They have been dialed in at the plate of late, and I'm expecting Framber Valdez to return to his struggles against a good-hitting Cubbies side. 

Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Jul 21 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Considering Tatsuya Imai's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams today.. This season, Kyle Stowers has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.1 mph compared to last year's 96 mph mark.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips in today's matchup.. Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Yordan Alvarez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 96.2-mph.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jul 21 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (-135)
Projection 2.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Jul 21 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jul 21 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's dial up a bet on the Reds tonight behind Chase Burns and his excellent strikeout ability. The M's are the third-worst K team at home, and Burns has racked up 7+ Ks in 8 of his last 10 appearances. That'll be enough to help the Reds pick up the win. 

Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. JJ Bleday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Jul 21 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jonah Heim logo
Jonah Heim u0.5 Total Hits (+176)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Jonah Heim is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.. When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Jonah Heim has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the slate.. Jonah Heim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
Tim Tawa logo
Tim Tawa u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tim Tawa is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the slate.. Hitting from the same side that Jack Perkins throws from, Tim Tawa will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.. In today's matchup, Tim Tawa is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (86th percentile).. Tim Tawa has compiled a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 29 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.