Milwaukee @ Detroit Picks & Props

Brice Turang has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity of all games today at 37%. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive ability to be a .295, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .047 disparity between that figure and his actual .342 wOBA.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity of all games today at 37%. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Willy Adames has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Willy Adames's 87.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 19th percentile.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity of all games today at 37%. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhys Hoskins in today's matchup. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Rhys Hoskins is very slow, checking in at the 14th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.59 ft/sec this year.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity of all games today at 37%. Casey Mize will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras today. Today, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (97th percentile). Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's matchup. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes William Contreras has experienced some positive variance given the .030 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-least humidity of all games today at 37%. Christian Yelich has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Christian Yelich has been lucky this year, putting up a .398 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .056 difference. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Christian Yelich ranks in just the 2nd percentile with a 3.3° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jackson Chourio's true offensive skill to be a .291, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .035 disparity between that mark and his actual .256 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Wenceel Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 80th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.33 ft/sec this year, Wenceel Perez is quite quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Placing in the 83rd percentile, Blake Perkins sits with a .336 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Justyn-Henry Malloy will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize today. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Jake Bauers's 18.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Akil Baddoo will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Akil Baddoo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Gio Urshela is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Gio Urshela will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) suggests that Javier Baez has been unlucky this year with his .181 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Carson Kelly will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for left-handed batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage in today's game.