Philadelphia @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. Considering Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Alec Bohm will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among every team today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today's matchup.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among every team today. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Bryce Harper grades out in the 12th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.4% rate since the start of last season).

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among every team today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today's matchup. Bryson Stott's 4.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Despite posting a .340 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has experienced some positive variance given the .020 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320. Using Statcast data, Jarren Duran grades out in the 12th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .278.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Connor Wong has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .367.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand in today's game. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Garrett Stubbs will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Garrett Stubbs pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Garrett Stubbs ranks in the 97th percentile with a 22.4° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.

David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup. David Hamilton has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Whit Merrifield has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best batter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Johan Rojas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Johan Rojas's speed has gotten better this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.83 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. David Dahl will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck today... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. David Dahl hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, David Dahl's 14.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 91st percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.