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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 15, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.07 |
-230 
|
o8.5 -107 
|
-1.5 -130 
|
|
4.03 |
+200 
|
u8.5 +100 
|
+1.5 +115
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yamamotos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Lowders last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+112
|
o8.5 -108 
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.78 |
-130
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Griffins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+200
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
4.80 |
-220
|
u8.5 -132
|
-1.5 +100
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Jaxs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.09 |
-250
|
o7.5 -114
|
-1.5 -135
|
|
3.82 |
+220
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 +115
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 7-1 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Misiorowskis last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+309
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.90 |
-210
|
o8.0 -110 
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
2.93 |
+180
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 +105
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
+118
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.36 |
-134
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+233)
o0.5+233
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.22 |
+110
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.64 |
-125
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +172
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+120
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.90 |
-135
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
o0.5+1100
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.32 |
-170
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
3.55 |
+150
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -111
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in Frieds last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+140
|
o8.0 -118
|
+2.5 -245
|
|
4.92 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +195
|
San Francisco
- Over is 7-0 in Giants last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Tidwells last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+243
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
-124
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.90 |
+110
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -150
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
u0.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+140
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.83 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +138
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.56 |
-188
|
o11.0 -137
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.86 |
+170
|
u11.5 -110
|
+1.5 +110
|
San Diego
- Padres are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
-165
|
o8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.11 |
+145
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Seattle
- Over is 8-0 in Mariners last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts vs. American League West.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
+135
|
o8.0 -148
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
5.00 |
-150
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Michael Soroka u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
u4.5-135
LAD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
LAD -1.5 (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives Los Angeles a massive edge on the mound against Rhett Lowder, who carries a 5.81 ERA into Tuesday. Rather than paying a premium on the Dodgers moneyline, I’ll lay the run and a half. With L.A.’s lineup capable of creating separation against Lowder, this sets up well for a multi-run Dodgers win.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+188)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, JJ Bleday will have the upper hand today.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
CHW
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I'm definitely backing the Cleveland Guardians and Foster Griffin at 55%, as I price them closer to a 59% favorite against the Chicago White Sox in this crucial AL Central matchup. This is a tough matchup for White Sox starter Davis Martin. His main strikeout pitches are his slider and curveball, but the Guardians are likely to stack the lineup with eight left-handed bats, meaning those pitches will be breaking into the barrels of their hitters. We also know how patient this lineup is. Martin doesn't feature an overpowering four-seam fastball and instead leans on his sinker as his best pitch. However, hitters such as José Ramírez and Chase DeLauter are exceptional contact hitters who can waste this pitch. Martin is going to be forced to challenge the Guardians in the zone with his four-seamer, and that's an advantage for Cleveland.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.
ATH
@
TB
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks.. Power-wise, Zack Gelof is positioned in the 79th percentile, having averaged 25.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cedric Mullins's BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.. Over the last two weeks, Cedric Mullins's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 91.5 mph to 86.4 mph.. From last year to this one, Cedric Mullins's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 41.3% to 32.7%.. Based on Statcast data, Cedric Mullins grades out in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .202.
MIL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.. Ryan O'Hearn will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Lake Bachar o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-185)
Projection 3.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Lake Bachar in the 79th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. Lake Bachar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.. Lake Bachar's 2709-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 100th percentile among all SPs.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Lake Bachar must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 60.7% of the time, grading out in the 77th percentile.. Placing in the 79th percentile, Lake Bachar has compiled a 24.7% Strikeout% this year.
PHI
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:45 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sanchez has been one of baseball’s most reliable starters this season, posting a 2.79 ERA with 210 strikeouts, and he gets an excellent matchup against Washington. Nationals starter Jackson Kent owns a 6.59 ERA, giving Philadelphia a significant pitching advantage before factoring in the superior lineup. At -126, I’d rather lay the 1.5 runs than pay the inflated moneyline price.
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP ability is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andres Chaparro has been pulled from the game early 71% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.. The #3 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
DET
@
TOR
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:07 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Braydon Fisher o0.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-270)
Projection 3.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Braydon Fisher has compiled a 28% K% since the start of last season.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Riley Greene is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Braydon Fisher in today's game.
BAL
@
NYM
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.
ATL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Mike Yastrzemski has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.5° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.
NYY
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Over the last week, Aaron Judge's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.. Despite posting a .369 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has experienced some negative variance given the .058 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .427.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's game.. Batters such as Royce Lewis with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's game.. Royce Lewis's launch angle this year (20.7°) is a significant increase over his 17.5° mark last season.
SF
@
STL
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
JB
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Joshua Baez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman u1.5 Total Bases (-290)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. 14% of the time that Nolan Gorman has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The #1 field in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.
BOS
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. In the past week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 25%.. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16.7% to 21.9%.
Total Bases
Caleb Durbin u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
KC
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Trammell u1.5 Total Bases (-350)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Taylor Trammell is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Taylor Trammell has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.. The #6 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in MLB.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+171)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Salvador Perez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 93.4-mph over the past week.. Over the last week, Salvador Perez's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, notching a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .040 deviation.
SD
@
COL
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.
Total RBIs
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Ezequiel Tovar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. In the past week, Ezequiel Tovar's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.8%.
SEA
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Johnson.
MIA
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Soroka u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Soroka to throw 34 pitches in today's game (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Erich Bacchus profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.. The #2 ballpark in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Joe Mack will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Joe Mack may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. Joe Mack has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 94-mph in the past week's worth of games.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
