LIVE 01:03 4th Jan 15
BOS 94 -14.0 o228.0
TOR 108 14.0 u228.0
LIVE 11:36 4th Jan 15
ATL 89 6.0 o235.0
CHI 80 -6.0 u235.0
LIVE 00:50 3rd Jan 15
MEM 92 -2.5 o239.5
SA 88 2.5 u239.5
LIVE End Jan 15
ORL 68 6.5 o212.5
MIL 92 -6.5 u212.5
LIVE 09:57 4th Jan 15
DAL 93 1.0 o222.5
NO 91 -1.0 u222.5
LIVE 07:29 2nd Jan 15
HOU 40 -5.5 o225.0
DEN 27 5.5 u225.0
LIVE 07:10 2nd Jan 15
CHA 40 -5.5 o222.5
UTA 45 5.5 u222.5
LIVE 09:53 1st Jan 15
GS 8 7.0 o217.0
MIN 0 -7.0 u217.0
MIA 4.5 o215.0
LAL -4.5 u215.0
BK 15.0 o213.0
LAC -15.0 u213.0
Final OT Jan 15
NY 125 -5.5 o221.0
PHI 119 5.5 u221.0
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38
Washington 12th Eastern Conference35-47
BSN, NBALP, NBCSWA

Miami @ Washington props

Capital One Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kendrick Nunn Points Scored Props • Washington

K. Nunn
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Kendrick Nunn has attempted 12.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Kendrick Nunn has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three overall this year. Kendrick Nunn has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Kendrick Nunn

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Kendrick Nunn has attempted 12.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Kendrick Nunn has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three overall this year. Kendrick Nunn has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
+115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
+115
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has sunk 72.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, -5.7% lower than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home. Daniel Gafford has converted 0.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Daniel Gafford has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this season at home. The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (12.1). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Daniel Gafford has sunk 72.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, -5.7% lower than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home. Daniel Gafford has converted 0.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Daniel Gafford has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this season at home. The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (12.1). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has converted 35.1% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (15.5). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Wizards have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Duncan Robinson has converted 35.1% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (15.5). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Wizards have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has converted 53.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Caleb Martin has played 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have averaged the 6th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (32.8). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Caleb Martin has converted 53.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Caleb Martin has played 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have averaged the 6th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (32.8). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Max Strus has made 42.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 8.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (40.7%). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat. Max Strus has converted a terrific 87.6% of his foul shots this year, a significant increase from his 78.5 mark last year.

Max Strus

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Max Strus has made 42.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 8.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (40.7%). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat. Max Strus has converted a terrific 87.6% of his foul shots this year, a significant increase from his 78.5 mark last year.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Wizards is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.3). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Wizards have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Haywood Highsmith will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

The matchup against the Wizards is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.3). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Wizards have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Haywood Highsmith will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

Johnny Davis Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Davis
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-129
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-129
Projection Rating

Johnny Davis has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards. The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Johnny Davis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Johnny Davis has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards. The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has made 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Washington is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.3). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat.

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Gabe Vincent has made 2.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Washington is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.3). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat.

Corey Kispert Points Scored Props • Washington

C. Kispert
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Corey Kispert has converted an impressive 42.5% of his three-point attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 30.8 mark last season. Corey Kispert has attempted 8.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Corey Kispert has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Corey Kispert

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Corey Kispert has converted an impressive 42.5% of his three-point attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 30.8 mark last season. Corey Kispert has attempted 8.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Corey Kispert has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Delon Wright Points Scored Props • Washington

D. Wright
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (16.6). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards. The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (15th-least in the league).

Delon Wright

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (16.6). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards. The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (15th-least in the league).

Anthony Gill Points Scored Props • Washington

A. Gill
power forward PF • Washington
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Anthony Gill has made a mere 15.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly less than his 49.0 mark last year. Anthony Gill has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Gill

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Anthony Gill has made a mere 15.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly less than his 49.0 mark last year. Anthony Gill has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Washington Wizards have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Cody Zeller Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Zeller
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Wizards is a good one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (15.6). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat. The matchup vs. the Wizards may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Cody Zeller

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Wizards is a good one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (15.6). The Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Heat. The matchup vs. the Wizards may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (21st-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic