LIVE 01:51 4th Jan 15
BK 66 15.5 o213.0
LAC 124 -15.5 u213.0
Final OT Jan 15
NY 125 -5.5 o221.0
PHI 119 5.5 u221.0
Final Jan 15
BOS 97 -14.0 o228.0
TOR 110 14.0 u228.0
Final Jan 15
ATL 110 6.0 o235.0
CHI 94 -6.0 u235.0
Final Jan 15
ORL 93 6.5 o212.5
MIL 122 -6.5 u212.5
Final Jan 15
MEM 129 -2.5 o239.5
SA 115 2.5 u239.5
Final Jan 15
DAL 116 1.0 o222.5
NO 119 -1.0 u222.5
Final Jan 15
HOU 128 -5.5 o225.0
DEN 108 5.5 u225.0
Final Jan 15
CHA 117 -5.5 o222.5
UTA 112 5.5 u222.5
Final Jan 15
GS 116 7.0 o217.0
MIN 115 -7.0 u217.0
Final Jan 15
MIA 108 4.5 o215.0
LAL 117 -4.5 u215.0
Atlanta 7th Eastern Conference41-41
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38

Atlanta @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has made 45.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing at home. Gabe Vincent has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for threes; when the Hawks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4). The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Gabe Vincent has made 45.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing at home. Gabe Vincent has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for threes; when the Hawks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 25th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4). The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (23.0%). The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Bam Adebayo has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (23.0%). The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are at home, opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league against them this year (13.8). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Hawks. Bogdan Bogdanovic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance for all stats.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc. This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are at home, opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league against them this year (13.8). The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Hawks. Bogdan Bogdanovic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance for all stats.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has made 43.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 8.6% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Kyle Lowry has attempted 5.3 threes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have averaged the 7th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (11.9).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Kyle Lowry has made 43.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 8.6% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year. Kyle Lowry has attempted 5.3 threes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 82nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. the Hawks is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have averaged the 7th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (11.9).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Max Strus has sunk 46.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Heat. Max Strus has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Hawks are the visiting team (25th-most in the league).

Max Strus

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Max Strus has sunk 46.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Heat. Max Strus has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Hawks are the visiting team (25th-most in the league).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Clint Capela has successfully made 74.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Clint Capela has successfully made a terrific 63.6% of his free throws this year, a sizeable increase from his 47.0 rate last year.

Clint Capela

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Clint Capela has successfully made 74.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Clint Capela has successfully made a terrific 63.6% of his free throws this year, a sizeable increase from his 47.0 rate last year.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.4 threes per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 14.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.4 threes per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 14.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-110

Trae Young has sunk 47.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year away from his home court. Trae Young has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Trae Young

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Trae Young has sunk 47.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year away from his home court. Trae Young has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has successfully made 56.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court. Tyler Herro has sunk a whopping 3.0 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 2.4 rate last season. Tyler Herro has played 33.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Tyler Herro has successfully made 56.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court. Tyler Herro has sunk a whopping 3.0 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 2.4 rate last season. Tyler Herro has played 33.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from downtown. The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Under
+102
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Under
+102
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year on the road. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has converted 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year on the road. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Onyeka Okongwu has converted 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Dejounte Murray has made 56.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Dejounte Murray has made 56.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.9). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Collins
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

John Collins has sunk 5.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. John Collins has sunk 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. John Collins has tallied 29.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

John Collins has sunk 5.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. John Collins has sunk 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. John Collins has tallied 29.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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