Final Jan 16
PHO 130 -11.5 o232.0
WAS 123 11.5 u232.0
Final Jan 16
IND 111 -2.0 o228.5
DET 100 2.0 u228.5
Final Jan 16
CLE 114 2.0 o232.0
OKC 134 -2.0 u232.0
Final Jan 16
HOU 127 5.0 o224.5
SAC 132 -5.0 u224.5
Final Jan 16
LAC 118 -7.0 o221.0
POR 89 7.0 u221.0
Boston 2nd Eastern Conference57-25
Atlanta 7th Eastern Conference41-41
NBCSB, TNT, BSN, TSN

Boston @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Dejounte Murray has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks. The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are on the road (14th-least in the league).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Dejounte Murray has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks. The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are on the road (14th-least in the league).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Al Horford has made 39.0% of his 3-point shots while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Al Horford has attempted 6.8 treys per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Al Horford has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Celtics.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Al Horford has made 39.0% of his 3-point shots while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Al Horford has attempted 6.8 treys per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Al Horford has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Celtics.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 74.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home. Onyeka Okongwu has converted 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 30th-most baskets per game in the league this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 74.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home. Onyeka Okongwu has converted 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 30th-most baskets per game in the league this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Collins
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

John Collins has sunk 5.0 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. John Collins has made 58.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 27.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season with the home court advantage. John Collins has averaged 29.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 22nd-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.

John Collins

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

John Collins has sunk 5.0 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. John Collins has made 58.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 27.1% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season with the home court advantage. John Collins has averaged 29.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 22nd-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.

Marcus Smart Points Scored Props • Boston

M. Smart
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Marcus Smart has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road. The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the league). Marcus Smart will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

Marcus Smart

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Marcus Smart has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road. The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the league). Marcus Smart will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks.

Clint Capela

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Trae Young has attempted a mere 6.3 3-pointers per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.0 rate last year. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Boston is a tough one for field goals; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 14th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (40.6%). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks.

Trae Young

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Trae Young has attempted a mere 6.3 3-pointers per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.0 rate last year. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Boston is a tough one for field goals; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 14th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (40.6%). The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jayson Tatum has made 53.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.3% higher than he's converted overall this season. Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Celtics. The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.7
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.7

Jayson Tatum has made 53.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.3% higher than he's converted overall this season. Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Celtics. The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 52.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's made overall this season. The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.1). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 52.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's made overall this season. The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.1). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Jaylen Brown has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a tough one for threes; when the Hawks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.8%). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road. The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has made 60.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, -16.6% less than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

Jaylen Brown has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a tough one for threes; when the Hawks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.8%). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road. The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has made 60.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, -16.6% less than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Derrick White has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Derrick White has successfully made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this year without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Celtics. The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Derrick White has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Derrick White has successfully made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this year without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Celtics. The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.9%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player performance for all stats.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.9%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player performance for all stats.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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