Oklahoma City 9th Western Conference40-42
Minnesota 8th Western Conference42-40
ESPN

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Jalen Williams has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Jalen Williams has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one; they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (16.8). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which should boost plays for the Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Jalen Williams has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Jalen Williams has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one; they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (16.8). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which should boost plays for the Thunder.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has made 60.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on his home court. Kyle Anderson has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Kyle Anderson has made 60.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on his home court. Kyle Anderson has averaged 34.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has been on the court for 24.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are at home, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 28th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which should boost plays for the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Isaiah Joe has been on the court for 24.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are at home, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 28th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (39.8%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which should boost plays for the Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Mike Conley

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Mike Conley has made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Mike Conley has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has attempted 22.8 shots per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Anthony Edwards has sunk 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year while playing at home. Anthony Edwards has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.4).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.9

Anthony Edwards has attempted 22.8 shots per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year at home. Anthony Edwards has sunk 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year while playing at home. Anthony Edwards has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.4).

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Minnesota

T. Prince
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has made a terrific 48.7% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 41.2 rate last year. Taurean Prince has made 2.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Taurean Prince has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.5%).

Taurean Prince

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Taurean Prince has made a terrific 48.7% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 41.2 rate last year. Taurean Prince has made 2.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Taurean Prince has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.5%).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort has attempted a lowly 11.8 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 14.2 mark last year. Luguentz Dort has successfully made a measly 1.9 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 2.6 mark last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Luguentz Dort has attempted a lowly 11.8 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 14.2 mark last year. Luguentz Dort has successfully made a measly 1.9 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 2.6 mark last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

Jaylin Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Jaylin Williams has attempted 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Jaylin Williams has been on the court for 23.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 29th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (0.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which should boost plays for the Thunder.

Jaylin Williams

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Jaylin Williams has attempted 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Jaylin Williams has been on the court for 23.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 29th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (0.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year, which should boost plays for the Thunder.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-145

Josh Giddey has made a terrific 48.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 41.0 mark last season. Josh Giddey has made 41.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 8.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home. Josh Giddey has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 82nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 29th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (47.9%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Josh Giddey has made a terrific 48.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 41.0 mark last season. Josh Giddey has made 41.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 8.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home. Josh Giddey has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 82nd percentile. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 29th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (47.9%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from home this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 67.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (66.0%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Rudy Gobert has sunk 67.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting Cs have shot for the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (66.0%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.27
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-120

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has gone over 32.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

D. Saric
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.24
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.24
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-140

Dario Saric has gone over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.81
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.81
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-130

Aaron Wiggins has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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